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Charlton have taken 7 points from their last five; Preston have lost three of their last five. Form gives little away going into this Championship tie.
Preston are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.7 against 1.2 actual goals). They look due a few more.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Charlton create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. Preston create 1.7 (giving up 2.0) for a balance of -0.3. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Preston are creating chances worth 1.7 a game but only finishing 1.2. the underlying performance is better than the results show.
Charlton average 1.6 goals per game and Preston manage 1.2. Combined that's just 2.8. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 52% of Charlton's home games and 61% of Preston's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Charlton Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Preston Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Charlton vs Preston kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.