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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Chapecoense know what's at stake, and so do Bahia.
Chapecoense welcome Bahia in the Brasileirão Série A. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Chapecoense will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Bahia travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Chapecoense average 0.8 goals per game and Bahia manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.1. We make it only 53% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Chapecoense Win | @3.30 | 22.6% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.30 | 25.5% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Bahia Win | @2.05 | 49.9% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.85 | 53.4% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.85 | 46.6% | William Hill |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model makes Bahia the favourite with a 49.9% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Chapecoense @ 3.30, Draw @ 3.30, Bahia @ 2.05. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Chapecoense vs Bahia kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Brasileirão Série A.