Vasco da Gama vs Santos Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Vasco da Gama know what's at stake, and so do Santos.
Neck and neck in the Brasileirão Série A standings. Vasco da Gama (14th, 45 pts) host Santos (12th, 47 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.
Thiago Mendes has been Vasco da Gama's spearhead, with 3 goals and 1 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 0.35 shots on target per game. Gabriel Barbosa has been Santos's main threat, with 7 goals and 2 assists in 13 appearances, averaging 0.54 shots on target per game.
Neither side arrives in vintage form. Vasco da Gama have gone D-D-L-L-L, Santos's D-L-D-L-L reads much the same, but that's exactly the kind of game where one moment settles it and a whole fanbase goes home happy. Tight, tense, and there for the taking for whoever holds their nerve.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Vasco da Gama create chances worth 1.0 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.5 a game on the balance. Santos create 1.3 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of +0.1. On the quality of chances, Santos look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. A worry for Vasco da Gama: the chances they're creating lately are worth 0.7 a game, well below their 1.0 season figure. The attacking output has dipped.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Vasco da Gama average 1.4 goals per game and Santos manage 1.2. Combined that's just 2.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Neither side has much to play for in the grand scheme. no European places within reach and relegation isn't a concern. That can make for an unpredictable game with less pressure on both sides.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Vasco da Gama Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Santos Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Vasco da Gama vs Santos kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 in the Brasileirão Série A.