Athletic Club vs Alaves Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Athletic Club have lost three of their last five; Alaves have won three of their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this La Liga tie.
The gap in chance quality is clear: Alaves come out at +0.4 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.1. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Athletic Club create chances worth 1.0 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. Alaves create 1.4 (giving up 1.1) for a balance of +0.4. On the quality of chances, Alaves look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Athletic Club average 1.0 goals per game and Alaves manage 1.4. Combined that's just 2.4. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both teams score in 53% of Athletic Club's home games and 53% of Alaves's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
In the last 10 meetings: Athletic Club have won 5, Alaves 2, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 1.9 goals per game. 1 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Alaves 2-4 Athletic Club, Athletic Club 0-1 Alaves, Alaves 1-0 Athletic Club, Athletic Club 1-0 Alaves.
Most likely scorelines: 0-1 (12%) and 1-1 (12%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Athletic Club Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Alaves Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Athletic Club vs Alaves kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:15 in the La Liga.