01The read
Analysing Al Taawon vs Al Khaleej Saihat: Who Wins?
The model makes Al Taawon 48% favourites here. Al Khaleej Saihat carry the 28% upset.
Al Taawon (6th, 53 pts) host Al Khaleej Saihat (12th, 37 pts) in the Saudi Pro League. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.57. Model probability 61% vs implied 64%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key facts
📉
Cold Run
Al Khaleej Saihat have lost their last 4. Confidence in that dressing room will be low
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 61% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
Al Taawon will be looking to make home advantage count (W7 D5 L5 at home). Al Khaleej Saihat's away record reads W4 D5 L8. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Al Taawon are scoring 1.7 a game (1.7 of those at home) and Al Khaleej Saihat manage 1.6 (1.5 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 61%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 56%.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Al Taawon HT
2.30
-
Draw HT
2.30
-
Al Khaleej Saihat HT
3.60
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Al Taawon vs Al Khaleej Saihat Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Al Taawon Win |
@1.91
|
47.8% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.30
|
24.0% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Al Khaleej Saihat Win |
@3.30
|
28.1% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.60
|
55.7% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.15
|
44.3% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.57
|
60.6% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.35
|
39.4% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.17
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@5.00
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.38
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.53
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Al Taawon vs Al Khaleej Saihat Team Stats
Al Taawon
Position
6
Played
34
Record
15W-8D-11L
Goals F/A
59/46
Avg Goals Scored
1.70
Points
53
Home Record
7W-5D-5L
Al Khaleej Saihat
Position
12
Played
34
Record
10W-7D-17L
Goals F/A
54/62
Avg Goals Scored
1.60
Points
37
Overall Form
LLLLW
Away Form
LWL
Away Record
4W-5D-8L
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
2-1
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
4-2
1.7%
4-0
1.5%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game fold one leg per market, live prices
-
Under 3.5 goals
74%
@1.53
10Bet
-
Abderrazak Hamdallah 1+ shots on target
85%
@1.18
Bet365
-
Al Khaleej Saihat under 6.5 corners
Smart
83%
@1.20
Unibet
-
Musa Barrow 1+ shots on target
77%
@1.30
Bet365
-
Joshua King 1+ shots on target
71%
@1.40
Bet365
Combined 3.94
· £5 returns
£19.71
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
85%
@1.29
Betano
-
Mohammed Al Qahtani 1+ shots
85%
@1.18
Bet365
-
Abdullah Alzaynaldeen 1+ shots
85%
@1.18
Bet365
-
Abderrazak Hamdallah 1+ shots on target
85%
@1.18
Bet365
-
Al Taawon or Draw (double chance)
83%
@1.31
Betano
-
Al Taawon or Al Khaleej Saihat (double chance)
83%
@1.27
Betano
-
Al Khaleej Saihat under 6.5 corners
83%
@1.20
Unibet
-
Al Khaleej Saihat under 6 corners
83%
@1.21
1xBet
-
Al Taawon under 2.5 goals
82%
@1.30
10Bet
-
Over 7.5 corners
81%
@1.28
Betano
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
81%
@1.36
Betano
-
Al Taawon over 3.5 corners
81%
@1.32
Unibet
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