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Al Kholood have drawn a blank in 44% of their games this season. Al-Ittihad FC's defence will fancy that.
Al-Ittihad FC have lost their last two; Al Kholood are winless in their last five. Form gives little away going into this Saudi Pro League tie.
Our PickAl-Ittihad FC to win at @1.44. Model probability 59% vs implied 69%. The market is 10pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Al-Ittihad FC are scoring 1.7 a game (1.7 of those at home) and Al Kholood manage 1.1 (1.3 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 62%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Al-Ittihad FC Win | @1.44 | 59.2% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @4.00 | 20.2% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Al Kholood Win | @5.00 | 16.8% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.70 | 51.1% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.00 | 48.9% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.57 | 62.0% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.38 | 38.0% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.17 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @5.00 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.38 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.57 | - | Bet365 |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Combined 3.67 · £5 returns £18.37
Our model makes Al-Ittihad FC the favourite with a 59.2% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Al-Ittihad FC @ 1.44, Draw @ 4.00, Al Kholood @ 5.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Kholood kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 in the Saudi Pro League.