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Ajax are unbeaten in their last five; Willem II are winless in their last three. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Eredivisie tie.
O. Gloukh has been Ajax's spearhead, with 4 goals and 0 assists in 5 appearances, averaging 1.40 shots on target per game. Whoever leads Willem II's line will have a job on against that profile.
Ajax average 1.8 goals per game and Willem II manage 1.3. Combined that's just 3.1. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Ajax are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.2 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Willem II, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
In the last 9 meetings: Ajax have won 7, Willem II 1, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 3.0 goals per game. 5 of the last 9 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Willem II 1-2 Ajax, Ajax 1-0 Willem II, Willem II 0-1 Ajax.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Ajax Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Willem II Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Ajax vs Willem II kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:00 in the Eredivisie.