Get the model's verified verdict on Ajax (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Ajax (5th, 56 pts) host PSV Eindhoven (1st, 84 pts) in the Eredivisie. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
PSV Eindhoven are no pushovers away from home. W14 D1 L2 from 17 away trips, scoring 2.5 per game on the road. Ajax (W11 D4 L4 at home) can't afford to take this lightly. Season-long, PSV Eindhoven average 2.5 points per game compared to Ajax's 1.6. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore.
Ajax average 1.8 goals per game and PSV Eindhoven manage 3.0. Combined that's just 4.8. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Promotion is on the line. Ajax (5th) and PSV Eindhoven (1st) are both in the playoff places. This could determine who goes up.
Ajax are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.2 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at PSV Eindhoven, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. PSV Eindhoven have goals in them (3.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.3 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (9%) and 1-1 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Ajax Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | PSV Eindhoven Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 in the Eredivisie.