Benfica vs Vitória SC Prediction

Sunday 11 October 2026, 18:00 Primeira Liga

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1070 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Benfica 70% Draw 17% Vitória SC 12%

The read

The desk

Benfica arrive on four straight wins and unbeaten at home across their last three, hosting a Vitória side whose only logged away form is a defeat. The shape points to a comfortable, controlled home win rather than an end-to-end shootout, with the goal line the more interesting number than the scoreline.

The model says

Always free
The call on this game Benfica to win
The best price 1.22William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.22

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
BTTS Yes 1.94

Vitória's only recorded away form is a loss, and the specials board has team_totals_away under 1.5 at 88% implied and under 2.5 at 98% implied; that doesn't fit a travelling side expected to find the net.

The research desk on this game:

“Benfica's run and the specials board both point one way: a controlled home win, no goal avalanche”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

Always free
Best priceImplied
Benfica win 1.22 82%
Draw 6.00 17%
Vitória SC win 12.00 8%
Benfica or draw 1.06 94%
Vitória SC or draw 4.00 25%
Either side to win, no draw 1.12 89%
Over 2.5 goals 1.48 68%
Both teams to score 1.95 51%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

18 markets
Benfica to win William Hill 1.22
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.18
Benfica over 4.5 corners Betano 1.19
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Benfica over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.27
Vitória SC under 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.28
Vitória SC over 1.5 corners Betano 1.28
Benfica under 3.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Over 7.5 corners Betano 1.29
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.33
Under 11.5 corners Betano 1.30
Under 4 goals BetVictor 1.37
Over 1 first half goals BetVictor 1.44
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.48
Benfica over 5.5 corners Betano 1.40
Benfica to win the second half William Hill 1.50
Over 25.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.44

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

Always free
Draw 5.00 to 6.00 drifting, longer
Under 2.5 goals 2.50 to 2.70 drifting, longer
Over 2.5 goals 1.44 to 1.48 drifting, longer
Home win 1.25 to 1.22 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

Always free
Benfica LWWWWW

Last 6, newest first: 5 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost. 15 scored, 5 conceded.

Sun 20 Sep at fc porto 1-3 Lost
Wed 16 Sep at ac milan 2-0 Won
Sun 13 Sep v Gil Vicente 3-1 Won
Wed 9 Sep at moreirense 4-0 Won
Sat 5 Sep at maritimo 3-0 Won
Mon 31 Aug v Estoril 2-1 Won
Vitória SC L

Last 1, newest first: 0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost. 0 scored, 1 conceded.

Mon 31 Aug at Sc Braga 0-1 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Benfica v Vitória SC: the numbers

Always free
BenficaVitória SC 3League position- 23-11-0League record, won-drawn-lost- 74-25Goals for and against0-0 80Points0 11-6-0Home record v away record- 2.20Scored a game0.00 0.70Conceded a game1.00 41%Clean sheets0% 6%Failed to score100% 50%Both teams scored0% 32%Over 2.5 goals0%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Benfica vs Vitória SC: FAQs

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Benfica vs Vitória SC prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Benfica to win at 1.22. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Benfica vs Vitória SC kick off?

Benfica vs Vitória SC kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 UK time (Primeira Liga).

What are the best odds for Benfica vs Vitória SC?

The best prices across the books we track: Benfica 1.22, the draw 6.00, Vitória SC 12.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Benfica and Vitória SC in?

Benfica have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 6 (L W W W W W, newest first), scoring 15 and conceding 5. Vitória SC have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 (L, newest first), scoring 0 and conceding 1.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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