Villarreal vs Levante Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
A La Liga meeting between Villarreal (16th, 2 pts) and Levante (10th, 4 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Villarreal will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D0 L1 at home). Levante's away record reads W0 D1 L1. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Crucially, Villarreal are in strong home form while Levante are struggling away from home. the venue factor amplifies the form gap. Season-long, Levante average 1.3 points per game compared to Villarreal's 0.5. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Villarreal create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them +0.5 a game on the balance. Levante create 1.8 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +0.6. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Villarreal are scoring 1.5 a game (2.0 of those at home) and Levante manage 1.7 (0.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 63%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 56%. The chance-quality data backs the goals case. Villarreal create chances worth 1.6 a game and Levante 1.8. Combined, that's 3.4 a game from open play alone.
Both teams score in 63% of Villarreal's home games and 47% of Levante's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
In the last 9 meetings: Villarreal have won 6, Levante 2, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.9 goals per game. 4 of the last 9 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Villarreal 1-0 Levante, Villarreal 5-1 Levante, Levante 0-1 Villarreal, Villarreal 3-1 Levante.
Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (8%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Villarreal Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Levante Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Villarreal vs Levante kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:30 in the La Liga.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 56.0% probability.