Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama Prediction
Wednesday 4 November 2026, 22:30 Brasileirão Série A1234 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Atletico Paranaense 44%
Draw 25%
Vasco da Gama 32%
The read
The deskAtletico have made Curitiba hard to beat, unbeaten in four of their last five at home, while Vasco arrive having lost three of their last five on the road without a single away draw. The double chance looks like the honest read here, backed by current form rather than this fixture's even head to head record.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The research
ProAtletico's home games have skewed heavily to draws, 3 of their last 5 there, the hallmark of tight, low-event matches, while Vasco have lost 3 of their last 5 away with no draws at all, a run that points to a side struggling to impose itself on the road.
The even head to head, 4 wins each in the last 10 with 2 draws, is the trap a casual reader reaches for. Current form contradicts it: Vasco have lost 3 of their last 5 away with zero draws, and Atletico are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 at home.
“Atletico's home resilience meets Vasco's away collapse, double chance holds, the even h2h is the trap”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Paranaense win | 2.10 | 48% | |
| Draw | 3.50 | 29% | |
| Vasco da Gama win | 3.40 | 29% | |
| Atletico Paranaense or draw | 1.33 | 75% | |
| Vasco da Gama or draw | 1.70 | 59% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 57% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 | 62% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
18 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeAtletico Paranaense
LDLWDW
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost. 9 scored, 9 conceded.
at Gremio
0-2
Lost
at Vitória
1-1
Drew
v Palmeiras
0-2
Lost
at Chapecoense
4-1
Won
v Atletico Mg
2-2
Drew
v Bahia
2-1
Won
Vasco da Gama
LWLDWW
Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost. 11 scored, 8 conceded.
v Flamengo
1-4
Lost
v Corinthians
3-2
Won
at Sao Paulo
0-1
Lost
v Remo
0-0
Drew
at Botafogo
2-1
Won
v Coritiba
5-0
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Atletico Paranaense v Vasco da Gama: the numbers
Always freeAtletico ParanaenseVasco da Gama
5League position13
15-9-9League record, won-drawn-lost10-8-14
50-40Goals for and against40-49
54Points38
9-5-2Home record v away record2-5-8
1.50Scored a game1.30
1.20Conceded a game1.50
1.29xG for a game1.99
24%Clean sheets12%
24%Failed to score31%
59%Both teams scored48%
18%Over 2.5 goals16%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Atletico Paranaense v Vasco da Gama: head to head
Always freeVasco da Gama v Atletico Paranaense
1-0
Atletico Paranaense v Vasco da Gama
2-1
Vasco da Gama v Atletico Paranaense
2-1
Vasco da Gama v Atletico Paranaense
2-1
Atletico Paranaense v Vasco da Gama
1-0
Atletico Paranaense v Vasco da Gama
0-0
Vasco da Gama v Atletico Paranaense
0-2
Atletico Paranaense v Vasco da Gama
3-0
Vasco da Gama v Atletico Paranaense
1-0
Vasco da Gama v Atletico Paranaense
1-1
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama: FAQs
Always freeAtletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Atletico Paranaense or Draw at 1.33. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama kick off?
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 22:30 UK time (Brasileirão Série A).
What are the best odds for Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama?
The best prices across the books we track: Atletico Paranaense 2.10, the draw 3.50, Vasco da Gama 3.40. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Atletico Paranaense and Vasco da Gama in?
Atletico Paranaense have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L D L W D W, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 9. Vasco da Gama have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L W L D W W, newest first), scoring 11 and conceding 8.
What is the head to head between Atletico Paranaense and Vasco da Gama?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Atletico Paranaense won 4, Vasco da Gama won 4 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 10 May 2026, finished Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Atletico Paranaense.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Mon 2 Nov
Pro single
Sonderjyske v FC Copenhagen
1.53
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sun 1 Nov
Pro single
Groningen v Sparta Rotterdam
1.44
Over 2.5 goals (2-3) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Sampdoria v Virtus Entella
1.36
Over 1.5 goals (2-0) Landed
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
Peterborough v Luton
1.41
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
-
Sat 31 Oct
Pro single
FC Augsburg v SC Freiburg
1.50
Over 2.5 goals (1-2) Landed
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.