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The model makes PSV Eindhoven 50% favourites here. Utrecht carry the 24% upset.
A Eredivisie meeting between Utrecht (6th, 53 pts) and PSV Eindhoven (1st, 84 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
PSV Eindhoven are no pushovers away from home. W14 D1 L2 from 17 away trips, scoring 2.5 per game on the road. Utrecht (W11 D3 L4 at home) can't afford to take this lightly.
Utrecht average 1.6 goals per game and PSV Eindhoven manage 3.0. Combined that's just 4.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Promotion is on the line. Utrecht (6th) and PSV Eindhoven (1st) are both in the playoff places. This could determine who goes up.
PSV Eindhoven have goals in them (3.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.3 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: Utrecht have won 0, PSV Eindhoven 7, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 4.2 goals per game. 7 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: PSV Eindhoven 4-3 Utrecht, Utrecht 1-2 PSV Eindhoven, PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Utrecht.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Utrecht Win | @3.16 | 24.3% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.87 | 24.2% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | PSV Eindhoven Win | @2.14 | 49.5% | 1xBet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.16 | - | 1xBet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.73 | - | 1xBet |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite with a 49.5% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Utrecht @ 3.16, Draw @ 3.87, PSV Eindhoven @ 2.14. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 11:15 in the Eredivisie.