U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul Prediction

Monday 12 October 2026, 02:00 Liga MX

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1070 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 27% Draw 27% Cruz Azul 46%

The read

The desk

Cruz Azul go into this on three straight wins while Pumas have lost their last three outings and their last home game, with Cordova out for the season, Carrasquilla suspended and Macias still sidelined. Expect the visitors to control the game and goals at both ends, not a home party.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.65Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.65

Who is missing

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Team news · fetched, named, sourced
U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Sebastian Cordova: out (ACL tear, ruled out for the rest of Apertura 2026) · Adalberto Carrasquilla: suspended since red card vs Atlas, late September · Jose Juan Macias: recovering from knee surgery, status for this match unconfirmed · Cristian Calderon: picked up an injury in Jornada 7, status unclear

Cruz Azul

No absences found.

Checked Fri 9 Oct, 00:35.

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win 3.31

Pumas have lost three straight (L D L) and their only recent home game, while down Cordova for the season, Carrasquilla to suspension and Macias to knee surgery. Cruz Azul arrive on three straight wins.

The research desk on this game:

“Cruz Azul's winning run meets a Pumas side hit by injuries, suspension and poor home form.”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Best priceImplied
U.N.A.M. - Pumas win 3.50 29%
Draw 3.75 27%
Cruz Azul win 2.00 50%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas or draw 1.80 56%
Cruz Azul or draw 1.30 77%
Either side to win, no draw 1.29 78%
Over 2.5 goals 1.65 61%
Both teams to score 1.57 64%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

17 markets
Under 4 goals Marathon Bet 1.19
U.N.A.M. - Pumas or Cruz Azul (double chance) William Hill 1.29
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.25
Cruz Azul over 1 goals 1xBet 1.28
Cruz Azul or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.30
Cruz Azul under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Over 2 goals BetVictor 1.30
Over 7.5 corners Betano 1.24
Over 0.5 first half goals Bet365 1.30
U.N.A.M. - Pumas over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.28
Cruz Azul over 3.5 corners Betano 1.29
Under 11.5 corners Betano 1.36
U.N.A.M. - Pumas over 3.5 corners Betano 1.38
Over 25.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.40
U.N.A.M. - Pumas under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.50
Under 10.5 shots on target Betano 1.47

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Draw 3.60 to 3.25 shortening
BTTS yes 1.62 to 1.53 shortening
Away win 2.05 to 1.95 shortening
Home or draw 1.73 to 1.70 shortening
BTTS no 2.34 to 2.30 shortening
Home win 3.20 to 3.25 drifting, longer

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

Always free
U.N.A.M. - Pumas LDL

Last 3, newest first: 0 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost. 3 scored, 7 conceded.

Sun 27 Sep v atletico san luis 2-3 Lost
Sun 20 Sep at atlas 1-1 Drew
Mon 14 Sep at guadalajara chivas 0-3 Lost
Cruz Azul DLWWWL

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost. 11 scored, 10 conceded.

Sat 26 Sep v toluca 3-3 Drew
Sun 20 Sep at monterrey 0-1 Lost
Sun 13 Sep v club america 4-3 Won
Sun 6 Sep v Santos 1-0 Won
Sat 29 Aug at necaxa 3-1 Won
Sun 23 Aug v Atlas 0-2 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Cruz Azul: the numbers

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U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul 1.00Scored a game1.93 2.33Conceded a game1.86 0%Clean sheets7% 33%Failed to score14% 67%Both teams scored79%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul: FAQs

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U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.65. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul kick off?

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 02:00 UK time (Liga MX).

What are the best odds for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?

The best prices across the books we track: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3.50, the draw 3.75, Cruz Azul 2.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?

U.N.A.M. - Pumas: Sebastian Cordova: out (ACL tear, ruled out for the rest of Apertura 2026), Adalberto Carrasquilla: suspended since red card vs Atlas, late September, Jose Juan Macias: recovering from knee surgery, status for this match unconfirmed, Cristian Calderon: picked up an injury in Jornada 7, status unclear. Cruz Azul: no absences found.

What form are U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Cruz Azul in?

U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 3 (L D L, newest first), scoring 3 and conceding 7. Cruz Azul have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 (D L W W W L, newest first), scoring 11 and conceding 10.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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