Manchester United vs Tottenham Prediction

Saturday 10 October 2026, 17:30 Premier League

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1070 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Manchester United 52% Draw 23% Tottenham 23%

The read

The desk

Tottenham sit 20th, winless away in their last two and missing Porro, Simons and Mudryk from an already blunted attack, while Manchester United are inconsistent but at home against a side this short-handed. The safe side of the draw is the only sound read here, though the market has already priced that in tightly.

The model says

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The call on this game Manchester United or Draw
The best price 1.20William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.20

Who is missing

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Team news · fetched, named, sourced
Manchester United

Mazraoui: out (injured on international duty with Morocco) · Sesko: out (shin, ongoing rehab) · Dorgu: doubt (hamstring, forced off on international duty) · De Ligt: doubt (back, tested fitness in a friendly) · Mainoo: out (load management, not believed serious)

Tottenham

Porro: out (hamstring, around a month) · Simons: out (long-term knee, ACL rehab) · Kulusevski: doubt (knee, in full training)

Checked Wed 7 Oct, 07:52.

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.50

Spurs are missing Porro, Simons and Mudryk, their most direct attacking outlets, with Kulusevski and Van Hecke also doubtful; the part of the team needed to get on the scoresheet is the part that is out, and Spurs are already winless in 5 (L L D D L).

KILLED
Tottenham to win 4.46

Spurs are 20th, winless in their last 2 away (D,L) and winless in 5 overall (L L D D L), and arrive without Porro, Simons and Mudryk with Kulusevski and Van Hecke doubtful; nothing in the evidence points at an away win.

The research desk on this game:

“Spurs arrive bottom, missing Porro, Simons and Mudryk; Man Utd or draw is the read, thin at 1.21.”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Manchester United win 52% 1.70 59%
Draw 23% 4.20 24%
Tottenham win 23% 4.75 21%
Manchester United or draw 80%+ 1.20 83%
Tottenham or draw 48% 2.15 47%
Either side to win, no draw 1.22 82%
Over 2.5 goals 58% 1.53 65%
Both teams to score 59% 1.53 65%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

20 markets
Manchester United under 3 goals Marathon Bet 1.18
Tottenham under 6.5 corners 1xBet 1.20
Under 13 corners 1xBet 1.19
Tottenham over 2.5 corners Betano 1.19
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.22
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.24
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.25
Over 8.5 corners Betano 1.33
Under 6.5 cards Betano 1.26
Manchester United under 7.5 corners Betano 1.30
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.33
Tottenham over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Under 4 goals BetVictor 1.35
Manchester United under 7 corners 1xBet 1.33
Over 3.5 cards Pinnacle 1.41
Manchester United under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.44
Tottenham under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.44
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.53
Both teams to score: Yes Bet365 1.53

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Away win 4.75 to 4.33 shortening
BTTS no 2.30 to 2.45 drifting, longer
BTTS yes 1.55 to 1.50 shortening
Home win 1.65 to 1.70 drifting, longer
Home or draw 1.17 to 1.20 drifting, longer

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Manchester United DLLWDW

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost. 14 scored, 9 conceded.

Sun 20 Sep at fulham 1-1 Drew
Wed 16 Sep v Brighton & Hove Albion 2-3 Lost
Sun 13 Sep v Manchester City 0-1 Lost
Thu 10 Sep v Sabah FK 4-0 Won
Sun 6 Sep at everton 2-2 Drew
Sun 30 Aug v Ipswich Town 5-2 Won
Tottenham LLDDLW

Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost. 8 scored, 9 conceded.

Result 2-3 Lost
Result 1-3 Lost
Result 0-0 Drew
Result 0-0 Drew
Result 0-2 Lost
Result 5-1 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Manchester United v Tottenham: the numbers

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Manchester UnitedTottenham 12League position20 1-2-2League record, won-drawn-lost0-2-3 8-8Goals for and against2-8 5Points2 1-0-1Home record v away record0-1-1 1.60Scored a game0.40 1.60Conceded a game1.60 com.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@6fa96c60xG forcom.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@78539e76 21%Clean sheets24% 11%Failed to score18% 71%Both teams scored61%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Likely scorelines

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2-110% 3-05% 3-15% 3-22% 4-02% 4-12%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Manchester United vs Tottenham: FAQs

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Manchester United vs Tottenham prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Manchester United or Draw at 1.20. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Manchester United vs Tottenham kick off?

Manchester United vs Tottenham kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:30 UK time (Premier League).

What are the best odds for Manchester United vs Tottenham?

The best prices across the books we track: Manchester United 1.70, the draw 4.20, Tottenham 4.75. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for Manchester United vs Tottenham?

Manchester United: Mazraoui: out (injured on international duty with Morocco), Sesko: out (shin, ongoing rehab), Dorgu: doubt (hamstring, forced off on international duty), De Ligt: doubt (back, tested fitness in a friendly), Mainoo: out (load management, not believed serious). Tottenham: Porro: out (hamstring, around a month), Simons: out (long-term knee, ACL rehab), Kulusevski: doubt (knee, in full training).

What form are Manchester United and Tottenham in?

Manchester United have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 (D L L W D W, newest first), scoring 14 and conceding 9. Tottenham have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L L D D L W, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 9.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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