Toronto FC vs New York City FC Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Toronto FC have taken six points from their last five; New York City FC have lost their last two. Form gives little away going into this MLS tie.
D. Sallói has been Toronto FC's spearhead, with 5 goals and 3 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 1.00 shots on target per game. N. Fernández Mercau has been New York City FC's main threat, with 13 goals and 3 assists in 19 appearances, averaging 1.53 shots on target per game.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Toronto FC come in on a D-W-D-L-D run, New York City FC have gone L-L-D-W-W, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Toronto FC's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Toronto FC create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. New York City FC create 1.2 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.2. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Toronto FC average 1.1 goals per game and New York City FC manage 1.4. Combined that's just 2.5. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
In the last 10 meetings: Toronto FC have won 2, New York City FC 7, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 3.6 goals per game. 7 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: New York City FC 1-1 Toronto FC, New York City FC 3-1 Toronto FC, Toronto FC 0-1 New York City FC.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Toronto FC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | New York City FC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Toronto FC vs New York City FC kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.