Player Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
O
O. Wijndal
1+ Shots on Target
42% (model)
O. Wijndal averages 0.60 SoT/match (5 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
Analysing Telstar vs Ajax: Who Wins?
Telstar 20%, the draw 23%, Ajax 55%. That's the shape of this one.
Tricky away day for Ajax (5th, 56 pts) as they travel to Telstar (14th, 37 pts), but the visitors' league position tells you they should have more than enough here.
J. Mokio has been Ajax's main threat, with 0 goals and 1 assists in 5 appearances, averaging 0.20 shots on target per game.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.60. Model probability 64% vs implied 63%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key men
J
J. Mokio
Ajax · Midfielder
0 goals · 1 assist in 5 apps
0.2 shots on target a game
Key facts
⚠
Home Struggles
Telstar have won just 5 of 17 at home. No fortress here, and visitors will fancy their chances
📊
H2H Favours Away
Ajax have won 4 of the last 4 encounters. They have a psychological edge
⚖
Quality Gap
Ajax's GD of +24 dwarfs Telstar's -6. The visitors are a level above
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 83% of Telstar's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
▸ Form & goals
Telstar will be looking to make home advantage count (W5 D5 L7 at home). Ajax's away record reads W5 D10 L2. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Telstar's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Telstar are scoring 1.4 a game (1.8 of those at home) and Ajax manage 1.8 (1.8 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 64%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 56%. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 4.0 goals when they meet, with 2 of the last 4 producing three or more.
▸ Team news & context
Ajax have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.2 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 4 meetings: Telstar have won 0, Ajax 4, with 0 draws. These fixtures average 4.0 goals per game. 2 of the last 4 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Telstar 2-3 Ajax, Ajax 2-0 Telstar, Ajax 2-0 Telstar.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Telstar HT
4.05
-
Draw HT
2.40
-
Ajax HT
2.45
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Telstar vs Ajax Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Telstar Win |
@3.96
|
19.9% |
1xBet |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@4.06
|
23.4% |
1xBet |
| Match Result |
Ajax Win |
@1.91
|
54.8% |
Betano |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.52
|
55.7% |
Betano |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.42
|
44.3% |
Betano |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.60
|
63.5% |
Betano |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.42
|
36.5% |
Betano |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.19
|
- |
Betano |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@4.90
|
- |
Betano |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.45
|
- |
1xBet |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.60
|
- |
1xBet |
05The numbers
Telstar vs Ajax Team Stats
Telstar
Position
14
Played
34
Record
9W-10D-15L
Goals F/A
49/55
Avg Goals Scored
1.40
Points
37
Overall Form
LWWWD
Home Form
LWW
Home Record
5W-5D-7L
Ajax
Position
5
Played
36
Record
16W-14D-6L
Goals F/A
66/42
Avg Goals Scored
1.80
Points
56
Overall Form
DWDWD
Away Form
WDW
Away Record
5W-10D-2L
Telstar vs Ajax Head to Head
0 Home Wins
0 Draws
4 Away Wins
4.0
Avg Goals
2/4
BTTS
2/4
Over 2.5
2026-01-11
Telstar 2-3 Ajax
2025-08-10
Telstar 0-2 Ajax
2024-12-19
Telstar 0-2 Ajax
2019-12-18
Telstar 3-4 Ajax
Full Telstar vs Ajax head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-2
9.4%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
0-4
1.7%
2-4
1.5%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Over 2 goals
85%
@1.18
Marathon Bet
-
Ajax over 1 goals
85%
@1.18
Marathon Bet
-
Under 2 first half goals
84%
@1.20
Marathon Bet
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
81%
@1.32
Betano
-
Over 1 second half goals
81%
@1.24
1xBet
-
Telstar or Ajax (double chance)
81%
@1.25
1xBet
-
Ajax or Draw (double chance)
81%
@1.30
Betano
-
Under 4 goals
80%
@1.26
Marathon Bet
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
79%
@1.33
Betano
-
Telstar over 0.5 goals
78%
@1.32
Betano
-
Ajax under 2.5 goals
75%
@1.35
Betano
-
Telstar under 1.5 goals
68%
@1.52
Betano
Build a slip from these markets →