1071 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
Millwall go into this missing both first-choice centre-backs and three more doubts, while Swansea top the table but are without Cameron Burgess for the season. Expect goals at both ends rather than a straightforward home certainty, Millwall's home record this term is shakier than their price suggests.
Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Lukas Jensen: out · Ryan Leonard: out · Josh Coburn: doubt · Casper De Norre: doubt · Tristan Crama: doubt · Mihailo Ivanovic: doubt
Cameron Burgess: out for the season (ACL) · Josh Key: doubt
Checked Sat 10 Oct, 00:57.
5 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The trap is the long-run head-to-head, home side has won 5 of the last 10 meetings, and plain home-advantage thinking. But Millwall's actual home form is 2W-1D-2L, and they're missing both first-choice centre-backs (Crama, Ivanovic doubtful) plus De Norre and Coburn, against the table's top side.
“Millwall's threadbare back-line and home slump make this a goals game, not a home certainty”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 47% | 2.42 | 41% |
| Draw | 27% | 3.45 | 29% |
| Swansea win | 39% | 2.95 | 34% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost. 9 scored, 11 conceded.
Last 3, newest first: 2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost. 6 scored, 5 conceded.
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
The model has not made a call on this game yet. Calls are published before kick-off and graded in public.
Millwall vs Swansea kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 UK time (Championship).
The best prices across the books we track: Millwall 2.42, the draw 3.45, Swansea 2.95. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Millwall: Lukas Jensen: out, Ryan Leonard: out, Josh Coburn: doubt, Casper De Norre: doubt, Tristan Crama: doubt, Mihailo Ivanovic: doubt. Swansea: Cameron Burgess: out for the season (ACL), Josh Key: doubt.
Millwall have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 6 (D D L L W L, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 11. Swansea have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 (W W L, newest first), scoring 6 and conceding 5.
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Millwall won 5, Swansea won 2 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, 4 Jan 2026, finished Millwall 2-1 Swansea.
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.