1068 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
Union Berlin are 17th and have won once in their last five, most recently losing at home. Elversberg sit seventh, drew and won their last two away, and have named a settled side, so the favourite on the evidence is the visitors.
The desk marks this call down. Its reason is in the research below.
Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
No absences found.
Zimmerschied: back injury · Petkov: disciplinary points
Checked Wed 7 Oct, 03:27.
The cover needs Union to avoid defeat, and Union have one win in five, a home loss as their last home result, and sit 17th against Elversberg's seventh. The evidence says the home side is the weaker one, so the cover is wrong on the game, not on the price.
Union have won once in their last five, lost their most recent home game, and sit 17th against Elversberg's seventh. Nothing in the pack or the team news gives the home side a reason to win this one.
“Union's form makes the home-or-draw call the trap; Elversberg or Draw at 1.64 is the leg.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin win | 48% | 2.25 | 44% |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 | 27% |
| SV Elversberg win | 41% | 3.00 | 33% |
| Union Berlin or draw | 71% | 1.40 | 71% |
| SV Elversberg or draw | 62% | 1.67 | 60% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.29 | 78% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.53 | 65% |
| Both teams to score | 67% | 1.50 | 67% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Last 2, newest first: 0 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 1 scored, 10 conceded.
Last 4, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 8 scored, 7 conceded.
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
The call on this game is Union Berlin or Draw at 1.40. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 UK time (Bundesliga).
The best prices across the books we track: Union Berlin 2.25, the draw 3.70, SV Elversberg 3.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Union Berlin: no absences found. SV Elversberg: Zimmerschied: back injury, Petkov: disciplinary points.
Union Berlin have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 (L L, newest first), scoring 1 and conceding 10. SV Elversberg have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 (D L W W, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 7.
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.