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A test of nerve as much as quality when Stockport County welcome Doncaster.
Stockport County welcome Doncaster in the EFL Cup. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Stockport County will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Doncaster travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.67. Model probability 62% vs implied 60%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Stockport County are scoring 1.8 a game (1.8 of those at home) and Doncaster manage 1.3 (1.3 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 62%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 52%.
Stockport County are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.4 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Doncaster, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Stockport County Win | @1.67 | 50.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.90 | 26.2% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Doncaster Win | @4.60 | 22.9% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.65 | 51.8% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.15 | 48.2% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.67 | 61.8% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.15 | 38.2% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.20 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.33 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.62 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.44 | - | Bet365 |
Our model makes Stockport County the favourite with a 50.9% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Stockport County @ 1.67, Draw @ 3.90, Doncaster @ 4.60. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Stockport County vs Doncaster kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 in the EFL Cup.