Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 Predictions & Odds
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Tricky away day for Stade Brestois 29 (6th, 1 pts) as they travel to Le Havre (14th, 0 pts), but the visitors' league position tells you they should have more than enough here.
Le Havre will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D0 L1 at home). Stade Brestois 29's away record reads W0 D1 L0. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Season-long, Stade Brestois 29 average 1.0 points per game compared to Le Havre's 0.0. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Le Havre create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.3 a game on the balance. Stade Brestois 29 create 1.1 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of -0.6. The underlying numbers clearly favour Le Havre. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
Le Havre average 1.3 goals per game and Stade Brestois 29 manage 2.0. Combined that's just 3.3. We make it only 39% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 52%.
Both teams score in 59% of Le Havre's home games and 47% of Stade Brestois 29's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Stade Brestois 29 have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (2.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: Le Havre have won 2, Stade Brestois 29 6, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.1 goals per game. 2 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Le Havre, Le Havre 1-0 Stade Brestois 29, Le Havre 0-1 Stade Brestois 29, Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Le Havre.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%) and 1-0 (7%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Le Havre Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Stade Brestois 29 Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:45 in the Ligue 1.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 52.1% probability.