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Angers are winless in their last four; Rennes have lost three in a row. Form gives little away going into this Ligue 1 tie.
The gap in chance quality is clear: Rennes come out at +0.2 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.9. that's a real edge in the quality of chances. A concern for Rennes: they're giving up chances worth 2.1 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.7 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Angers create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 2.0), leaving them -0.9 a game on the balance. Rennes create 1.9 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of +0.2. On the quality of chances, Rennes look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Rennes's defence is giving up chances. Worth 2.1 a game over their last 5 vs 1.7 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Angers average 0.8 goals per game and Rennes manage 2.0. Combined that's just 2.8. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both teams score in 41% of Angers's home games and 47% of Rennes's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Rennes have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (2.2 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end. Don't underestimate the visitors. Rennes create chances worth 1.9 a game and Angers give up chances worth 2.0 at home. The away side could control the ball here.
In the last 9 meetings: Angers have won 1, Rennes 7, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.9 goals per game. 5 of the last 9 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Rennes 2-1 Angers, Angers 1-1 Rennes, Angers 0-3 Rennes, Rennes 2-0 Angers.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (9%) and 1-2 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Angers Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Rennes Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Angers vs Rennes kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:15 in the Ligue 1.