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The model makes Sparta Rotterdam 46% favourites here. Utrecht carry the 41% upset.
A Eredivisie meeting between Sparta Rotterdam (10th, 43 pts) and Utrecht (6th, 53 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Sparta Rotterdam will be looking to make home advantage count (W6 D5 L6 at home). Utrecht's away record reads W5 D5 L8. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Sparta Rotterdam are scoring 1.2 a game (1.2 of those at home) and Utrecht manage 1.6 (1.4 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 55%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 55%.
In the last 10 meetings: Sparta Rotterdam have won 4, Utrecht 5, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.6 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Utrecht 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam, Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Utrecht, Utrecht 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sparta Rotterdam Win | @2.50 | 46.0% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.30 | 25.5% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Utrecht Win | @2.50 | 40.9% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.57 | 54.6% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.25 | 45.4% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.70 | 55.4% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.20 | 44.6% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.20 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.36 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.62 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.50 | - | Bet365 |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Combined 3.92 · £5 returns £19.61
Our model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite with a 46.0% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Sparta Rotterdam @ 2.50, Draw @ 3.30, Utrecht @ 2.50. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:45 in the Eredivisie.