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The key duel: Excelsior's attack against NEC Nijmegen's back line.
A quality mismatch? NEC Nijmegen (3rd, 59 pts) entertain Excelsior (13th, 38 pts). The table positions tell a clear story, but football has a habit of humbling the favourites.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. NEC Nijmegen will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Excelsior travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
The travelling Excelsior fans arrive with a spring in their step, and rightly so. unbeaten in 5. That W-D-W-W-D away form is genuinely impressive. NEC Nijmegen have been wobbling (W-L-D-D-D) recent form reads W-L-D-D-D. But home crowds have a way of dragging a side through, and NEC Nijmegen will fancy that their own supporters can be the difference when it matters. Excelsior have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. NEC Nijmegen average 2.3 goals per game and Excelsior manage 1.3. Combined that's just 3.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
NEC Nijmegen are all-out attack: 2.3 goals a game, but they leak 1.6 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Excelsior, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | NEC Nijmegen Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Excelsior Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 in the Eredivisie.