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A test of nerve as much as quality when Sheffield Wednesday welcome Bolton.
Sheffield Wednesday welcome Bolton in the EFL Cup. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Sheffield Wednesday will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Bolton travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Sheffield Wednesday are scoring 0.8 a game (0.8 of those at home) and Bolton manage 2.1 (2.1 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 59%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 54%.
Bolton have goals in them (2.1 per game) but their record at the back (1.4 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sheffield Wednesday Win | @3.90 | 27.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.50 | 27.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Bolton Win | @1.85 | 45.4% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.62 | 53.5% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.20 | 46.5% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.70 | 59.3% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.20 | 40.7% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.22 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @4.33 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.75 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.46 | - | Bet365 |
Our model makes Bolton the favourite with a 45.4% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Sheffield Wednesday @ 3.90, Draw @ 3.50, Bolton @ 1.85. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Bolton kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 in the EFL Cup.