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Solihull Moors arrive on a 5-game losing run to face a side the model has at 51%.
Scunthorpe have lost their last two; Solihull Moors have lost five in a row. The momentum is with the hosts going into this National League tie.
Our PickThree or more goals at @1.57. Model probability 61% vs implied 64%. Priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Scunthorpe are scoring 0.8 a game (0.8 of those at home) and Solihull Moors manage 1.8 (1.8 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 61%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 55%. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 4.5 goals when they meet, with 5 of the last 6 producing three or more.
In the last 6 meetings: Scunthorpe have won 0, Solihull Moors 5, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 4.5 goals per game. 5 of the last 6 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Scunthorpe 3-3 Solihull Moors, Solihull Moors 3-0 Scunthorpe, Scunthorpe 0-2 Solihull Moors.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Scunthorpe Win | @1.73 | 51.3% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.60 | 25.0% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Solihull Moors Win | @4.20 | 23.7% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.62 | 54.6% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.20 | 45.4% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.57 | 60.6% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.35 | 39.4% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.17 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @5.00 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.38 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.53 | - | Bet365 |
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Scunthorpe the favourite with a 51.3% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Scunthorpe @ 1.73, Draw @ 3.60, Solihull Moors @ 4.20. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Scunthorpe vs Solihull Moors kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 in the National League.