Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Prediction

Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:00 Eliteserien

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1070 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Aalesund 48% Draw 24% Sarpsborg 08 FF 43%

The read

The desk

Both sides have drawn more than they've won lately, Aalesund three draws in five at home and Sarpsborg three in five overall, with Andresen suspended and doubts over Ngongo, Carstensen and Opoku on both lists. That points away from a straight home win at 2.50 and toward the draw covering itself in some form.

The model says

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The call on this game BTTS: Yes
The best price 1.40William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.40

Who is missing

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Team news · fetched, named, sourced
Aalesund

Marius Andresen: suspended

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Frederik Carstensen: injured (long-term, since January 2026) · Michael Opoku: injured (ankle), status unconfirmed

Checked Thu 8 Oct, 07:33.

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Aalesund to win 2.50

Just 1 win in Aalesund's last 5 at home (W D L D D), with Andresen suspended and Ngongo a doubt, there is no home-form base for backing them outright regardless of the price.

The research desk on this game:

“Both sides draw more than they win lately; the trap is backing Aalesund outright off home advantage alone.”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Best priceImplied
Aalesund win 2.50 40%
Draw 3.75 27%
Sarpsborg 08 FF win 2.45 41%
Aalesund or draw 1.53 65%
Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw 1.53 65%
Either side to win, no draw 1.29 78%
Over 2.5 goals 1.40 71%
Both teams to score 1.40 71%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

15 markets
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.22
Aalesund or Sarpsborg 08 FF (double chance) William Hill 1.29
Aalesund under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Sarpsborg 08 FF under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Sarpsborg 08 FF over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.25
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Under 2 first half goals BetVictor 1.32
Aalesund over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.26
Both teams to score: Yes William Hill 1.40
Over 10.5 corners Betano 1.33
Under 14.5 corners Betano 1.35
Under 2.5 second half goals William Hill 1.36
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.40
Under 4 goals Marathon Bet 1.38
Sarpsborg 08 FF or Draw (double chance) Bet365 1.53

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Under 2.5 goals 2.77 to 2.84 drifting, longer

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Aalesund WLWLDD

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost. 12 scored, 11 conceded.

Sat 19 Sep at molde 2-1 Won
Sun 13 Sep at kfum oslo 1-2 Lost
Fri 4 Sep v IK Start 2-0 Won
Sun 30 Aug at viking fk 1-2 Lost
Sun 16 Aug v Vålerenga 5-5 Drew
Sun 9 Aug at hamarkameratene 1-1 Drew
Sarpsborg 08 FF LD

Last 2, newest first: 0 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 2 scored, 4 conceded.

Fri 18 Sep v kfum oslo 1-3 Lost
Sun 13 Sep at fredrikstad 1-1 Drew

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Aalesund v Sarpsborg 08 FF: the numbers

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AalesundSarpsborg 08 FF -League position9 1-0-1League record, won-drawn-lost11-8-11 4-1Goals for and against48-50 0Points41 0-0-1Home record v away record6-4-5 2.00Scored a game1.60 0.50Conceded a game1.70 com.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@155ec194xG forcom.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@69129b66 50%Clean sheets20% 50%Failed to score23% 90%Both teams scored100% 50%Over 2.5 goals23%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: FAQs

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Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is BTTS: Yes at 1.40. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF kick off?

Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 UK time (Eliteserien).

What are the best odds for Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

The best prices across the books we track: Aalesund 2.50, the draw 3.75, Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.45. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

Aalesund: Marius Andresen: suspended. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Frederik Carstensen: injured (long-term, since January 2026), Michael Opoku: injured (ankle), status unconfirmed.

What form are Aalesund and Sarpsborg 08 FF in?

Aalesund have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W L W L D D, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 11. Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 (L D, newest first), scoring 2 and conceding 4.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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