Casa Pia vs Santa Clara Prediction

Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:30 Primeira Liga

Build this bet

1070 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Casa Pia 18% Draw 28% Santa Clara 52%

The read

The desk

Santa Clara arrive in better shape, unbeaten in their last five with three wins, while Casa Pia have lost their last three at home and sit 16th. The sensible angle is the visitors not losing, but at 1.20 that leg is too short for a slip, and no named team news has been confirmed.

The model says

Always free
The call on this game Santa Clara to win
The best price 1.85William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.85

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Both teams to score - Yes 2.10

Pack: BTTS yes 2.10 is the best match price. Casa Pia's home form of L L L means they must score against the better-run side, and the form lines give no sign they will. The pack has no scoring or conceding runs, so the kill rests on form.

KILLED
Casa Pia or Draw (double chance) 1.88

Pack: home double chance 1.88 on our board. Casa Pia lost their last three at home and sit 16th, so they need a draw at minimum. The draw is 3.10 in match odds, so the leg is a bet against the home side's form.

The research desk on this game:

“Santa Clara's form carries the read; the 1.20 double chance is right but short for a slip.”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Best priceImplied
Casa Pia win 4.50 22%
Draw 3.25 31%
Santa Clara win 1.85 54%
Casa Pia or draw 1.91 52%
Santa Clara or draw 1.20 83%
Either side to win, no draw 1.33 75%
Over 2.5 goals 2.30 43%
Both teams to score 2.10 48%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

20 markets
Casa Pia under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.20
Santa Clara over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Santa Clara under 2 goals Marathon Bet 1.24
Santa Clara under 6.5 corners 1xBet 1.21
Under 3 goals BetVictor 1.28
Under 11.5 corners Betano 1.29
Casa Pia or Santa Clara (double chance) William Hill 1.33
Over 7.5 corners 1xBet 1.34
Santa Clara over 3.5 corners 1xBet 1.34
Under 1.5 first half goals William Hill 1.30
Over 0.5 second half goals William Hill 1.36
Casa Pia under 5.5 corners 1xBet 1.36
Casa Pia under 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.42
Under 8.5 shots on target Betano 1.37
Over 1.5 goals BetVictor 1.42
Under 24.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.40
Over 0.5 first half goals Bet365 1.50
Under 1.5 second half goals Bet365 1.50
Casa Pia over 3.5 corners Betano 1.52
Over 20.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.47

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

Always free
Under 2.5 goals 1.50 to 1.62 drifting, longer
Over 2.5 goals 2.40 to 2.30 shortening
Draw 3.10 to 3.20 drifting, longer

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

Always free
Casa Pia WLDLLL

Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 3 scored, 15 conceded.

Sun 20 Sep at estoril 2-1 Won
Sat 12 Sep v FC Porto 1-4 Lost
Sun 6 Sep at vitoria de guimaraes 0-0 Drew
Sun 30 Aug v Moreirense 0-1 Lost
Mon 24 Aug at gil vicente 0-2 Lost
Mon 17 Aug v Benfica 0-7 Lost
Santa Clara DWWDWW

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost. 9 scored, 2 conceded.

Sun 20 Sep v Braga 0-0 Drew
Sun 13 Sep at arouca 2-1 Won
Sun 6 Sep v Rio Ave 4-0 Won
Sat 29 Aug at alverca 1-1 Drew
Sun 23 Aug v FC Famalicao 1-0 Won
Sat 15 Aug at academico de viseu 1-0 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Casa Pia v Santa Clara: the numbers

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Casa PiaSanta Clara 16League position13 7-13-16League record, won-drawn-lost9-9-16 33-57Goals for and against32-41 30Points36 3-9-6Home record v away record2-7-8 0.90Scored a game0.90 1.60Conceded a game1.20 25%Clean sheets29% 44%Failed to score38% 29%Both teams scored43% 8%Over 2.5 goals3%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Casa Pia v Santa Clara: head to head

Always free
Casa Pia won 2 2 draws Santa Clara won 3
1.7 goals a game 3/7 both scored 3/7 over 2.5
18 Apr 2026 Casa Pia v Santa Clara 0-0
6 Dec 2025 Santa Clara v Casa Pia 1-0
1 Feb 2025 Santa Clara v Casa Pia 2-1
24 Aug 2024 Casa Pia v Santa Clara 0-2
29 Jan 2023 Casa Pia v Santa Clara 2-1
7 Aug 2022 Santa Clara v Casa Pia 0-0
22 Dec 2019 Santa Clara v Casa Pia 1-2

Casa Pia vs Santa Clara: FAQs

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Casa Pia vs Santa Clara prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Santa Clara to win at 1.85. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Casa Pia vs Santa Clara kick off?

Casa Pia vs Santa Clara kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:30 UK time (Primeira Liga).

What are the best odds for Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?

The best prices across the books we track: Casa Pia 4.50, the draw 3.25, Santa Clara 1.85. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Casa Pia and Santa Clara in?

Casa Pia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 (W L D L L L, newest first), scoring 3 and conceding 15. Santa Clara have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 6 (D W W D W W, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 2.

What is the head to head between Casa Pia and Santa Clara?

In their last 7 meetings on our record, Casa Pia won 2, Santa Clara won 3 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, 18 Apr 2026, finished Casa Pia 0-0 Santa Clara.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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