Match Stats
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
-
Over 9.5 Match Corners
44% (model)
Corners: Rio Ave avg 4.3 for/5.5 against, Sporting CP avg 4.2 for/4.4 against → expected 9.2 match corners
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Over 4.5 Match Cards
41% (model)
Cards: Rio Ave avg 2.2/game, Sporting CP avg 2.0/game → expected 4.2 match cards
-
Over 20.5 Match Fouls
45% (model)
Fouls: Rio Ave avg 8.5/game, Sporting CP avg 11.6/game → expected 20.1 match fouls
-
Over 24.5 Match Shots
55% (model)
Shots: Rio Ave avg 10.7/game, Sporting CP avg 14.6/game → expected 25.3 match shots
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
Rio Ave Host Sporting CP: Our Prediction
The model makes Sporting CP 69% favourites here. Rio Ave carry the 11% upset.
A Primeira Liga meeting between Rio Ave (12th, 36 pts) and Sporting CP (2nd, 82 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickSporting CP to win at @1.30. Model probability 69% vs implied 77%. The market is 8pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key facts
⚠
Home Struggles
Rio Ave have won just 3 of 17 at home. No fortress here, and visitors will fancy their chances
✈
Strong Travellers
Sporting CP win 70% of their away games (W12 from 17). Dangerous visitors
📊
H2H Favours Away
Sporting CP have won 9 of the last 10 encounters. They have a psychological edge
⚖
Quality Gap
Sporting CP's GD of +65 dwarfs Rio Ave's -22. The visitors are a level above
▸ Form & goals
Sporting CP are no pushovers away from home. W12 D5 L0 from 17 away trips, scoring 2.2 per game on the road. Rio Ave (W3 D6 L8 at home) can't afford to take this lightly.
Goals look likely here. Rio Ave average 1.0 per game (1.0 at home) and Sporting CP chip in with 2.6 (2.2 away). Defensively, Rio Ave concede 1.7 at home and Sporting CP leak 0.8 on the road. We make it 66% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 47%. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 3.2 goals when they meet, with 6 of the last 10 producing three or more.
▸ Team news & context
Sporting CP are similarly well-balanced. 2.6 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. This has the makings of a tight, tactical game between two organised sides.
In the last 10 meetings: Rio Ave have won 0, Sporting CP 9, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 3.2 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Rio Ave 1-4 Sporting CP, Sporting CP 4-0 Rio Ave, Rio Ave 1-2 Sporting CP.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Rio Ave HT
7.50
-
Draw HT
2.62
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Sporting CP HT
1.70
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Rio Ave Win |
@8.00
|
10.8% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@5.50
|
18.7% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Sporting CP Win |
@1.30
|
68.5% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.80
|
47.0% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@1.95
|
53.0% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.49
|
65.5% |
BetVictor |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.58
|
34.5% |
BetVictor |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.13
|
- |
BetVictor |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@5.25
|
- |
BetVictor |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.17
|
- |
BetVictor |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.66
|
- |
BetVictor |
05The numbers
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP Team Stats
Rio Ave
Position
12
Played
34
Record
8W-12D-14L
Goals F/A
35/57
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
Points
36
Overall Form
WLLDL
Home Form
LLDD
Home Record
3W-6D-8L
Sporting CP
Position
2
Played
34
Record
25W-7D-2L
Goals F/A
89/24
Avg Goals Scored
2.60
Points
82
Overall Form
WWDWW
Away Form
DWD
Away Record
12W-5D-0L
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP Head to Head
0 Home Wins
1 Draws
9 Away Wins
3.2
Avg Goals
4/10
BTTS
6/10
Over 2.5
2026-05-11
Rio Ave 1-4 Sporting CP
2025-12-28
Rio Ave 0-4 Sporting CP
2025-04-22
Rio Ave 1-2 Sporting CP
2025-04-03
Rio Ave 0-2 Sporting CP
2025-01-18
Rio Ave 0-3 Sporting CP
2024-08-09
Rio Ave 1-3 Sporting CP
2024-02-25
Rio Ave 3-3 Sporting CP
2023-09-25
Rio Ave 0-2 Sporting CP
2023-02-06
Rio Ave 0-1 Sporting CP
2022-12-07
Rio Ave 0-2 Sporting CP
Full Rio Ave vs Sporting CP head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
7.0%
0-4
4.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-3
3.0%
0-5
1.9%
1-5
1.6%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Under 4.5 goals
84%
@1.27
Betano
-
Sporting CP under 3.5 goals
83%
@1.25
Betano
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
83%
@1.29
Betano
-
Under 2 first half goals
82%
@1.22
Marathon Bet
-
Over 1 second half goals
82%
@1.22
Marathon Bet
-
Over 7.5 corners
81%
@1.23
Unibet
-
Rio Ave under 4.5 corners
81%
@1.24
Unibet
-
Under 12.5 corners
80%
@1.25
Unibet
-
Sporting CP to win
78%
@1.34
Betano
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
78%
@1.36
Betano
-
Under 4 goals
78%
@1.29
Marathon Bet
-
Sporting CP over 1.5 goals
75%
@1.37
Betano
Build a slip from these markets →