Player Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
J
J. Bergström
1+ Shots on Target
57% (model)
J. Bergström averages 0.94 SoT/match (16 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
Á
Á. Samuelsen
1+ Shots on Target
56% (model)
Á. Samuelsen averages 0.92 SoT/match (12 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
A
A. Manneh
1+ Shots on Target
56% (model)
A. Manneh averages 0.91 SoT/match (11 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
E
E. Stroud
1+ Shots on Target
56% (model)
E. Stroud averages 0.90 SoT/match (10 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game
T
T. Miettinen
To Be Carded
36% (model)
T. Miettinen (Defender) on 0.40 yellows/match (15 apps), pos-mult 1.10
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
01The read
Analysing Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF: Who Wins?
Red Bull Salzburg 67%, the draw 19%, Mjallby AIF 14%. That's the shape of this one.
Red Bull Salzburg are unbeaten in their last five; Mjallby AIF have lost three of their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Europa League tie.
J. Bergström has been Mjallby AIF's main threat, with 7 goals and 0 assists in 16 appearances, averaging 0.94 shots on target per game.
Our pick
Tracking this league
Our PickRed Bull Salzburg to win at @1.22. Model probability 67% vs implied 82%. The market is 15pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Key men
J
J. Bergström
Mjallby AIF · Attacker
7 goals in 16 apps
0.9 shots on target a game
Key facts
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 63% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
Goals are a tough one to call here. Red Bull Salzburg are scoring 1.3 a game (1.8 of those at home) and Mjallby AIF manage 1.7 (1.7 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 63%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 42%. Two or more goals at @1.17 is a steadier alternative for accas.
▸ Team news & context
European nights carry a magic all of their own. The anthem, the spotlight, the occasion. Both sets of players will be desperate to deliver under the continental floodlights.
Red Bull Salzburg need points desperately. Sitting 31st in the table, every match feels like a cup final now.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (7%) and 3-1 (3%).
First Half Result
-
Red Bull Salzburg HT
1.62
-
Draw HT
2.70
-
Mjallby AIF HT
8.00
Latest News
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Team Intel
📊 Mjallby AIF · xG
For: 1.85/g
Against: 0.94/g
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Red Bull Salzburg Win |
@1.22
|
67.1% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@5.50
|
18.7% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Mjallby AIF Win |
@11.00
|
14.2% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@2.05
|
41.5% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@1.70
|
58.5% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.57
|
62.8% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.43
|
37.2% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.17
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@5.25
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.38
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.57
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF Team Stats
Red Bull Salzburg
Position
31
Played
8
Record
2W-0D-6L
Goals F/A
10/15
Avg Goals Scored
1.30
Points
6
Overall Form
WWDDW
Home Record
2W-0D-2L
Mjallby AIF
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
2-1
6.8%
3-1
2.9%
3-2
2.7%
3-0
1.6%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 11 priced markets
-
Red Bull Salzburg to win
83%
@1.25
1xBet
-
Over 2 goals
83%
@1.20
Marathon Bet
-
Mjallby AIF under 1 goals
83%
@1.21
Marathon Bet
-
Under 2 first half goals
83%
@1.21
Marathon Bet
-
Red Bull Salzburg under 3.5 goals
82%
@1.30
1xBet
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
80%
@1.30
Betano
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
80%
@1.33
Betano
-
Under 4 goals
80%
@1.25
Marathon Bet
-
Over 1 second half goals
79%
@1.26
Marathon Bet
-
Red Bull Salzburg over 1.5 goals
77%
@1.35
1xBet
-
Red Bull Salzburg to win the second half
68%
@1.55
William Hill
Build a slip from these markets →