QPR vs Middlesbrough Predictions & Odds
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QPR are unbeaten in their last six; Middlesbrough have taken 7 points from their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Championship tie.
Both sides are prolific in front of goal. QPR average 3.0 per game and Middlesbrough chip in with 2.0. Expect an open, attacking contest.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
QPR create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. Middlesbrough create 2.0 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +0.8. On the quality of chances, Middlesbrough look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
QPR average 3.0 goals per game and Middlesbrough manage 2.0. Combined that's just 5.0. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. QPR and Middlesbrough together create chances worth 3.3 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 67% of QPR's home games and 65% of Middlesbrough's away matches.
QPR are all-out attack: 3.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Middlesbrough, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Middlesbrough have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: QPR have won 3, Middlesbrough 6, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 3.8 goals per game. 8 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: QPR 0-4 Middlesbrough, Middlesbrough 3-1 QPR, Middlesbrough 2-1 QPR.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | QPR Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Middlesbrough Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
QPR vs Middlesbrough kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.