Who is favourite to win Blackburn vs QPR?

Our model rates Blackburn as the favourite with a 41.4% win probability. The full 1X2 split: Blackburn 41.4%, draw 26.6%, QPR 32.0%.

Where can I watch Blackburn vs QPR?

Check official Championship broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

How many goals are expected in Blackburn vs QPR?

Our model gives Over 2.5 goals a 49.3% probability and Under 2.5 goals 50.7%. The lean is towards a tighter, lower-scoring affair.

70% verified · 828 picks Championship Saturday 29 August 2026, 15:00

Blackburn vs QPR Predictions & Odds

B Blackburn 41.4% @2.30

VS Draw 26.6%

Q QPR 32.0% @3.00

Our model call Leans Blackburn, but only just A 41% call, draw at 27%.

★★★

Match result modelmarket

Blackburn 41% 2.30 Draw 27% 3.20 QPR 32% 3.00

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 51% 1.91 Over 2.5 49% 1.91 Over 1.5 @1.30

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 52% 2.00 Yes 48% 1.75

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

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03Model vs the market

Our Model vs The Market

Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.

Market	Our model	Bookies imply	Difference
Both Teams to Score	48.1%	57.8%	10 pts under
Blackburn Win	41.4%	50.0%	9 pts under
Over 2.5 Goals	49.3%	52.4%	3 pts under

What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.

Key Stats

01The read

Blackburn and QPR Promise Fireworks. Preview & Prediction

The model makes Blackburn 41% favourites here. QPR carry the 32% upset.

Blackburn slight edge (41%) | Predicted: 2-1 Confidence ★★★★★

Blackburn have won three of their last five; QPR are unbeaten in their last six. Form gives little away going into this Championship tie.

Our verdict

Too close to call with any conviction. Blackburn edge it at 41% but a draw (27%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.

Where's the value?

The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.

Key facts

⚽

Open Games Both teams score in 67% of QPR's matches this season

▸ Form & goals

Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Blackburn average 2.0 per game and QPR chip in with 2.8. Expect an open, attacking contest. A concern for QPR: they're giving up chances worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.3 for the season). The defence is creaking.

xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.

Blackburn create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.5 a game on the balance. QPR create 1.3 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of -0.1. On the quality of chances, QPR look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. QPR's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 vs 1.3 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.

Goals are a tough one to call here. Blackburn are scoring 2.0 a game (2.0 of those at home) and QPR manage 2.8 (2.8 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 49%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 48%.

Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 57% of Blackburn's home games and 67% of QPR's away matches.

▸ Team news & context

Blackburn are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.5 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at QPR, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. QPR have goals in them (2.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.

In the last 10 meetings: Blackburn have won 6, QPR 4, with 0 draws. These fixtures average 2.4 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: QPR 1-3 Blackburn, Blackburn 0-1 QPR, QPR 2-1 Blackburn.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

First Half Result

Blackburn HT 2.88
Draw HT 2.15
QPR HT 3.40

Team Intel

📊 Blackburn · xG

For: 1.06/g Against: 1.53/g

📊 QPR · xG

For: 1.28/g Against: 1.33/g

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

Blackburn vs QPR Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	Blackburn Win	@2.30	41.4%	William Hill
Match Result	Draw	@3.20	26.6%	William Hill
Match Result	QPR Win	@3.00	32.0%	William Hill
BTTS	Yes	@1.75	48.1%	William Hill
BTTS	No	@2.00	51.9%	William Hill
Goals	Over 2.5	@1.91	49.3%	Bet365
Goals	Under 2.5	@1.91	50.7%	Bet365
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.30	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 1.5	@3.50	-	Bet365
Goals	Over 3.5	@3.40	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 3.5	@1.33	-	Bet365

05The numbers

Recent Form

Blackburn

1W streak 3 unbeaten

Last 5 WDWLW

At home WLD

Clean sheets 26% BTTS 48% FTS 35%

QPR

6 unbeaten

Last 6 DWDWWW

Clean sheets 33% BTTS 67% FTS 17%

Blackburn vs QPR Team Stats

Blackburn Rovers FC

Position 6

Played 2

Record 1W-1D-0L

Goals F/A 4/3

Avg Goals Scored 2.00

Points 4

Overall Form WDWLW

Home Form WLD

Home Record 0W-0D-0L

QPR

Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.

Blackburn vs QPR Head to Head

6 Home Wins 0 Draws 4 Away Wins

2.4 Avg Goals

4/10 BTTS

5/10 Over 2.5

2026-02-14 Blackburn 3-1 QPR

2025-11-26 Blackburn 0-1 QPR

2025-02-04 Blackburn 1-2 QPR

2024-09-28 Blackburn 2-0 QPR

2024-02-03 Blackburn 1-2 QPR

2023-10-07 Blackburn 4-0 QPR

2023-02-25 Blackburn 3-1 QPR

2022-07-30 Blackburn 1-0 QPR

2022-02-26 Blackburn 1-0 QPR

2021-10-19 Blackburn 0-1 QPR

Full Blackburn vs QPR head-to-head history →

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 1-2 9.0%

1-1 8.3%

2-2 6.7%

1-3 6.5%

2-1 6.2%

0-2 6.0%

0-1 5.5%

2-3 4.9%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles 12 priced markets

Blackburn under 2 goals 83% @1.20 Marathon Bet
Blackburn over 0.5 goals 82% @1.28 Betano
Under 2 second half goals 82% @1.22 Marathon Bet
Over 0.5 second half goals 81% @1.26 Betano
Under 3.5 goals 81% @1.33 Bet365
Blackburn or Draw (double chance) 80% @1.40 Betano
Over 1.5 goals 78% @1.34 Betano
Blackburn or QPR (double chance) 78% @1.33 William Hill
QPR over 0.5 goals 75% @1.40 Bet365
Under 1.5 first half goals 74% @1.40 William Hill
Over 0.5 first half goals 74% @1.45 Betano
QPR under 1.5 goals 74% @1.42 Betano

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our Blackburn v QPR builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 Blackburn or Draw 76% @ 1.32
2 Over 1.5 Goals 76% @ 1.31

@1.73 £10 returns £17.31

View full breakdown

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The record

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verified hit rate across 828 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

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Blackburn vs QPR: FAQs

Who will win Blackburn vs QPR?

Our model makes Blackburn the favourite with a 41.4% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.

What are the best odds for Blackburn vs QPR?

Best available odds: Blackburn @ 2.30, Draw @ 3.20, QPR @ 3.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does Blackburn vs QPR kick off?

Blackburn vs QPR kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.

Will both teams score in Blackburn vs QPR?

Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 48.1% probability.

Blackburn vs QPR prediction and betting tips?

Our top prediction is Blackburn to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.