Key Stats
🛡
Qarabag have kept a clean sheet in 67% of games this season
🔥
Qarabag are on a 3-game winning streak
01The read
Can Twente Get the Job Done at Qarabag?
Qarabag have failed to score in 50% of their games, and now the model gives Twente a 48% chance on the road.
Qarabag have won three straight; Twente have taken 7 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Europa Conference League tie.
Key facts
🧤
Defensive Wall
Qarabag keep clean sheets in 67% of games. One of the tightest defences around
😶
Blunt Attack
Qarabag fail to score in 50% of their games. Creating chances has been a real problem
🤝
Draw Merchants
2 draws from 3 meetings. Stalemates are the pattern here
🔥
Hot Streak
Qarabag have won 3 in a row. Momentum is real
▸ Form & goals
Goals are a tough one to call here. Qarabag are scoring 1.0 a game (1.0 of those at home) and Twente manage 1.8 (1.8 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 59%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 54%. Worth noting: despite the stats pointing to goals, this fixture has historically averaged just 1.0 per game. Their history says take it with a pinch of salt.
▸ Team news & context
Qarabag do it the hard way: only 1.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.3 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. Twente have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.7 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 3 meetings: Qarabag have won 1, Twente 0, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 1.0 goals per game. Clean sheets are common in this fixture. One-sided results have been the pattern. Recent results: Twente 0-1 Qarabag, Twente 1-1 Qarabag, Qarabag 0-0 Twente.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Qarabag HT
3.75
-
Draw HT
2.35
-
Twente HT
2.47
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Qarabag vs Twente Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Qarabag Win |
@3.50
|
27.5% |
1xBet |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@4.00
|
24.8% |
Dafabet |
| Match Result |
Twente Win |
@2.02
|
47.7% |
1xBet |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.60
|
53.8% |
Betano |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.28
|
46.2% |
Betano |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.67
|
58.9% |
1xBet |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.26
|
41.1% |
1xBet |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.21
|
- |
Betano |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@4.50
|
- |
Betano |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.63
|
- |
1xBet |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.50
|
- |
1xBet |
05The numbers
Qarabag vs Twente Head to Head
1 Home Wins
2 Draws
0 Away Wins
1.0
Avg Goals
1/3
BTTS
0/3
Over 2.5
2026-08-20
Qarabag 1-0 Twente
2014-08-28
Qarabag 1-1 Twente
2014-08-21
Qarabag 0-0 Twente
Full Qarabag vs Twente head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-2
7.0%
1-3
2.5%
0-3
1.9%
2-3
1.7%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 9 priced markets
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
84%
@1.19
Betano
-
Qarabag or Twente (double chance)
83%
@1.27
1xBet
-
Twente under 2.5 goals
82%
@1.30
Betano
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
78%
@1.33
Betano
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
78%
@1.29
Betano
-
Twente or Draw (double chance)
77%
@1.34
Betano
-
Qarabag over 0.5 goals
77%
@1.35
Betano
-
Qarabag under 1.5 goals
71%
@1.50
Betano
-
Under 3.5 goals
69%
@1.50
Betano
Build a slip from these markets →