Who is favourite to win Charlton vs Preston?

Our model rates Charlton as the favourite with a 44.9% win probability. The full 1X2 split: Charlton 44.9%, draw 27.0%, Preston 28.0%.

Where can I watch Charlton vs Preston?

Check official Championship broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

How many goals are expected in Charlton vs Preston?

Our model gives Over 2.5 goals a 51.4% probability and Under 2.5 goals 48.6%. The lean is towards a high-scoring game.

70% verified · 811 picks Championship Saturday 29 August 2026, 15:00

Charlton vs Preston Predictions & Odds

C Charlton 44.9% @2.30

VS Draw 27.0%

P Preston 28.0% @3.25

Our model call Leans Charlton, but only just A 45% call, draw at 27%.

★★★

Match result modelmarket

Charlton 45% 2.30 Draw 27% 3.00 Preston 28% 3.25

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 49% 1.73 Over 2.5 51% 2.10 Over 1.5 @1.33

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 47% 1.91 Yes 53% 1.80

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

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03Model vs the market

Our Model vs The Market

Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.

Market	Our model	Bookies imply	Difference
Draw	27.0%	33.3%	6 pts under
Both Teams to Score	53.0%	55.6%	3 pts under
Over 2.5 Goals	51.4%	49.0%	2 pts over

What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.

Key Stats

🔥 Charlton are on a 3-game winning streak

01The read

Charlton vs Preston: Can the Hosts Deliver?

Charlton have won 3 on the bounce. The model prices this one at 45%.

Charlton slight edge (45%) | Predicted: 2-0 Confidence ★★★★★

A quality mismatch? Charlton (3rd, 6 pts) entertain Preston (21st, 0 pts). The table positions tell a clear story, but football has a habit of humbling the favourites.

Our verdict

Marginal call: Charlton at just 45%. With the draw at 27%, this is anyone's game. You could make a case for Charlton, but there's a lot to be said for playing it safe.

Where's the value?

The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.

Key facts

🔥

Goals Expected Charlton score 2.0 per game at home and Preston concede 2.0 away. Goals look inevitable

📉

Cold Run Preston have lost their last 2. Confidence in that dressing room will be low

🔥

Hot Streak Charlton have won 3 in a row. Momentum is real

▸ Form & goals

Charlton's home record this season is formidable. W1 D0 L0 from 1, scoring 2.0 goals per game at home. Preston, by contrast, have struggled on the road (W0 D0 L1 from 1 away). That imbalance is hard to ignore. Interestingly, Charlton have been poor at home recently while Preston travel well. the visitors' away form is superior to the hosts' home record. Preston are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.7 against 1.0 actual goals). They look due a few more.

xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.

Charlton create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. Preston create 1.7 (giving up 2.0) for a balance of -0.3. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Preston are creating chances worth 1.7 a game but only finishing 1.0. the underlying performance is better than the results show.

Goals are a tough one to call here. Charlton are scoring 2.0 a game (2.0 of those at home) and Preston manage 1.0 (1.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 51%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 53%.

Both teams score in 52% of Charlton's home games and 61% of Preston's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.

▸ Team news & context

Preston travel here with relegation breathing down their neck. At 21st, they can't afford to drop many more points.

Charlton are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Preston, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

First Half Result

Charlton HT 2.80
Draw HT 2.05
Preston HT 3.70

Team Intel

📊 Charlton · xG

For: 1.20/g Against: 1.55/g

📊 Preston · xG

For: 1.65/g Against: 1.95/g

💎 Underscoring xG by 0.35/g, value possible

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

Charlton vs Preston Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	Charlton Win	@2.30	44.9%	William Hill
Match Result	Draw	@3.00	27.0%	William Hill
Match Result	Preston Win	@3.25	28.0%	William Hill
BTTS	Yes	@1.80	53.0%	William Hill
BTTS	No	@1.91	47.0%	William Hill
Goals	Over 2.5	@2.10	51.4%	Bet365
Goals	Under 2.5	@1.73	48.6%	Bet365
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.33	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 1.5	@3.40	-	Bet365
Goals	Over 3.5	@3.75	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 3.5	@1.28	-	Bet365

05The numbers

Recent Form

Charlton

3W streak

Last 5 WWWLW

At home WWL

Clean sheets 28% BTTS 54% FTS 22%

Preston

2L streak

Last 5 LLDLW

On the road LWL

Clean sheets 20% BTTS 59% FTS 26%

Charlton vs Preston Team Stats

Charlton Athletic FC

Position 3

Played 2

Record 2W-0D-0L

Goals F/A 4/2

Avg Goals Scored 2.00

Points 6

Overall Form WWWLW

Home Form WWL

Home Record 1W-0D-0L

Preston North End FC

Position 21

Played 2

Record 0W-0D-2L

Goals F/A 2/5

Avg Goals Scored 1.00

Overall Form LLDLW

Away Form LWL

Away Record 0W-0D-1L

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 2-0 9.8%

2-1 9.8%

1-0 8.7%

1-1 8.7%

3-0 7.4%

3-1 7.4%

2-2 4.9%

1-2 4.4%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles 11 priced markets

Under 2 second half goals 85% @1.18 Marathon Bet
Under 3.5 goals 84% @1.28 Bet365
Over 0.5 second half goals 80% @1.30 Betano
Charlton over 0.5 goals 80% @1.31 Betano
Charlton or Preston (double chance) 78% @1.36 William Hill
Under 3 goals 77% @1.36 Betano
Under 1.5 first half goals 76% @1.36 Bet365
Charlton or Draw (double chance) 75% @1.36 Betano
Preston under 1.5 goals 75% @1.36 Bet365
Over 0.5 first half goals 71% @1.52 Betano
Preston over 0.5 goals 71% @1.44 Pinnacle

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our Charlton v Preston builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 No Draw 73% @ 1.36
2 Over 1.5 Goals 75% @ 1.33

@1.82 £10 returns £18.17

View full breakdown

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verified hit rate across 811 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

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Charlton vs Preston: FAQs

Who will win Charlton vs Preston?

Our model makes Charlton the favourite with a 44.9% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.

What are the best odds for Charlton vs Preston?

Best available odds: Charlton @ 2.30, Draw @ 3.00, Preston @ 3.25. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does Charlton vs Preston kick off?

Charlton vs Preston kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship.

Will both teams score in Charlton vs Preston?

Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 53.0% probability.

Charlton vs Preston prediction and betting tips?

Our top prediction is Charlton to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.