Preston vs Blackburn Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
Get the model's verified verdict on Preston (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
A Championship meeting between Preston (17th, 0 pts) and Blackburn (9th, 1 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Interestingly, Preston look better than their results show. The quality of chances they create is worth 1.3 a game, but they're only converting 1.0 goals. They're creating more than the scoreline shows and look due a few more goals. A concern for Blackburn: they're giving up chances worth 1.9 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.5 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Preston create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.8), leaving them -0.5 a game on the balance. Blackburn create 1.1 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of -0.5. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Preston should be scoring more. Their chances are worth 1.3 a game but they're only getting 1.0 goals. When the finishing clicks, they'll be a handful. Blackburn's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.9 a game over their last 5 vs 1.5 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Preston are scoring 1.0 a game (1.0 of those at home) and Blackburn manage 2.0 (2.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 64%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 56%. A word of caution on the chances: even though the goals numbers point up, the combined chance quality is only worth 2.4 a game. These sides aren't creating as much as their goal tallies suggest. Hot finishing has flattered the numbers.
Both teams score in 57% of Preston's home games and 39% of Blackburn's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Preston need points desperately. Sitting 17th in the table, every match feels like a cup final now.
Blackburn have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (2.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: Preston have won 2, Blackburn 5, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 2.7 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Blackburn 1-0 Preston, Preston 1-2 Blackburn, Blackburn 2-1 Preston.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Preston Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Blackburn Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Preston vs Blackburn kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:30 in the Championship.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 56.1% probability.