Atalanta crestParma crest

Atalanta vs Parma Prediction

Monday 2 November 2026, 19:45 Serie A

Build this bet

1234 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Atalanta crestAtalanta 59% Draw 24% Parma crestParma 17%

The read

The desk

Atalanta are missing four defenders and host a Parma side that has lost five straight away games and gone four without a win. That points to goals rather than a clean sheet, and while the home form and head to head favour Atalanta, the short price makes it a read worth more than a bet.

The model says

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The call on this game Atalanta to win
The best price 1.50William Hill

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.50

Who is missing

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Team news · fetched, named, sourced
Atalanta crestAtalanta

Kossounou: out, injury · Hien: out, injury · Kolasinac: out, injury · Scalvini: out, Sarri's main defensive worry · Bellanova: doubt

Parma crestParma

Ndiaye: out, defence · Gilardino: appointed head coach late September, replacing Cuesta

Checked Fri 30 Oct, 00:20.

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Double Chance - Parma or Draw 2.66

The trap for anyone backing a new-manager bounce: Parma have lost all 5 of their last 5 away, haven't won anywhere in 4, and have taken only 2 wins from the last 10 head to head meetings against an Atalanta side that is 3-1-1 at home.

The research desk on this game:

“Atalanta's leaky defence and Parma's woeful away run point to goals, not a clean home sheet”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Atalanta win 59% 1.50 67%
Draw 24% 4.50 22%
Parma win 17% 6.00 17%
Atalanta or draw 1.14 88%
Parma or draw 42% 2.50 40%
Either side to win, no draw 1.20 83%
Over 2.5 goals 63% 1.57 64%
Both teams to score 56% 1.70 59%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

17 markets
Under 12 corners 1xBet 1.18
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.20
Atalanta under 3 goals Marathon Bet 1.21
Parma over 2 corners 1xBet 1.21
Atalanta under 8.5 corners Betano 1.22
Under 4.5 cards Betano 1.22
Parma under 4.5 corners 1xBet 1.25
Under 4 goals BetVictor 1.29
Over 7.5 corners Betano 1.29
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.29
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.28
Over 2 goals BetVictor 1.25
Atalanta over 4.5 corners 1xBet 1.26
Over 1.5 cards Pinnacle 1.28
Parma under 1.5 goals BetVictor 1.29
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.30
Atalanta over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.50

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Away win 8.00 to 5.50 shortening
Draw 4.80 to 4.20 shortening
Home win 1.35 to 1.50 drifting, longer
BTTS no 1.91 to 2.10 drifting, longer
BTTS yes 1.85 to 1.70 shortening
Home or draw 1.08 to 1.14 drifting, longer
No draw 1.17 to 1.20 drifting, longer

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Atalanta crestAtalanta DDLLWW

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost. 14 scored, 13 conceded.

Thu 29 Oct Fiorentina crestat Fiorentina 2-2 Drew
Sun 25 Oct Frosinone crestv Frosinone 4-4 Drew
Thu 22 Oct Ajax Amsterdam crestat Ajax Amsterdam 0-2 Lost
Sun 18 Oct AC Milan crestat AC Milan 2-3 Lost
Thu 15 Oct Pafos crestv Pafos 3-1 Won
Mon 12 Oct Venezia crestv Venezia 3-1 Won
Parma crestParma DLLLWL

Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 4 scored, 11 conceded.

Wed 28 Oct Udinese crestv Udinese 0-0 Drew
Sat 24 Oct Lazio crestat Lazio 1-2 Lost
Mon 19 Oct Torino crestv Torino 0-3 Lost
Sat 10 Oct Internazionale crestat Internazionale 0-3 Lost
Sun 20 Sep Genoa crestv Genoa 2-1 Won
Mon 14 Sep Como crestat Como 1-2 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Atalanta v Parma: the numbers

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Atalanta crestAtalantaParma crestParma 13League position18 3-2-4League record, won-drawn-lost1-2-6 16-17Goals for and against5-15 11Points5 3-1-1Home record v away record0-0-4 1.78Scored a game0.56 1.89Conceded a game1.67 1.43xG for a game0.83 34%Clean sheets34% 21%Failed to score42% 53%Both teams scored39%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Atalanta v Parma: head to head

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Atalanta won 7 1 draw Parma won 2
4.2 goals a game 7/10 both scored 9/10 over 2.5
25 Jan 2026 Atalanta crestParma crestAtalanta v Parma 4-0
30 Aug 2025 Parma crestAtalanta crestParma v Atalanta 1-1
25 May 2025 Atalanta crestParma crestAtalanta v Parma 2-3
23 Nov 2024 Parma crestAtalanta crestParma v Atalanta 1-3
4 Aug 2024 Parma crestAtalanta crestParma v Atalanta 4-1
9 May 2021 Parma crestAtalanta crestParma v Atalanta 2-5
6 Jan 2021 Atalanta crestParma crestAtalanta v Parma 3-0
28 Jul 2020 Parma crestAtalanta crestParma v Atalanta 1-2
6 Jan 2020 Atalanta crestParma crestAtalanta v Parma 5-0
31 Mar 2019 Parma crestAtalanta crestParma v Atalanta 1-3

Likely scorelines

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2-110% 3-16% 3-04% 3-23% 4-12% 4-02%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Atalanta vs Parma: FAQs

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Atalanta vs Parma prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Atalanta to win at 1.50. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Atalanta vs Parma kick off?

Atalanta vs Parma kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 19:45 UK time (Serie A).

What are the best odds for Atalanta vs Parma?

The best prices across the books we track: Atalanta 1.50, the draw 4.50, Parma 6.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for Atalanta vs Parma?

Atalanta: Kossounou: out, injury, Hien: out, injury, Kolasinac: out, injury, Scalvini: out, Sarri's main defensive worry, Bellanova: doubt. Parma: Ndiaye: out, defence, Gilardino: appointed head coach late September, replacing Cuesta.

What form are Atalanta and Parma in?

Atalanta have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 (D D L L W W, newest first), scoring 14 and conceding 13. Parma have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 (D L L L W L, newest first), scoring 4 and conceding 11.

What is the head to head between Atalanta and Parma?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Atalanta won 7, Parma won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 25 Jan 2026, finished Atalanta 4-0 Parma.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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