Who is favourite to win Osasuna vs Getafe?

Our model rates Osasuna as the favourite with a 47.1% win probability. The full 1X2 split: Osasuna 47.1%, draw 27.0%, Getafe 25.8%.

Where can I watch Osasuna vs Getafe?

Check official La Liga broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

How many goals are expected in Osasuna vs Getafe?

Our model gives Over 2.5 goals a 31.9% probability and Under 2.5 goals 68.1%. The lean is towards a tighter, lower-scoring affair.

70% verified · 837 picks La Liga Monday 31 August 2026, 18:30

Osasuna vs Getafe Predictions & Odds

O Osasuna 47.1% @2.15

VS Draw 27.0%

G Getafe 25.8% @3.70

Our model call Leans Osasuna, but only just A 47% call, draw at 27%.

★★★

Match result modelmarket

Osasuna 47% 2.15 Draw 27% 2.90 Getafe 26% 3.70

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 68% 1.44 Over 2.5 32% 3.00 Over 1.5 @1.62

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 60% 1.62 Yes 40% 2.25

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

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03Model vs the market

Our Model vs The Market

Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.

Market	Our model	Bookies imply	Difference
Draw	27.0%	34.7%	8 pts under
Over 2.5 Goals	31.9%	37.0%	5 pts under
Both Teams to Score	40.3%	44.8%	5 pts under

What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.

Match Stats

Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

Over 8.5 Match Corners 53% (model) Corners: Osasuna avg 5.8 for/3.6 against, Getafe avg 3.5 for/4.9 against → expected 8.9 match corners
Over 4.5 Match Cards 51% (model) Cards: Osasuna avg 1.6/game, Getafe avg 3.1/game → expected 4.7 match cards
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 81% (model) Fouls: Osasuna avg 13.2/game, Getafe avg 16.1/game → expected 29.3 match fouls
Over 22.5 Match Shots 14% (model) Shots: Osasuna avg 11.0/game, Getafe avg 7.0/game → expected 18.0 match shots

Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Key Stats

🎯 Both teams scored in 74% of Osasuna home games

🚨 Getafe have failed to score in 45% of matches

01The read

Osasuna Host Getafe: Our Prediction

The model makes Osasuna 47% favourites here. Getafe carry the 26% upset.

Osasuna slight edge (47%) | Lower-scoring game likely (68%) | Predicted: 1-0 Confidence ★★★★★

Neck and neck in the La Liga standings. Osasuna (7th, 4 pts) host Getafe (10th, 3 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.

Our verdict

A razor-thin margin: Osasuna at 47%, but the draw sits at 27%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.

Where's the value?

The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.

Key facts

😶

Goal Shy Getafe fail to score in 45% of their games. They go missing in front of goal far too often

▸ Form & goals

Osasuna will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D1 L0 at home). Getafe's away record reads W0 D0 L1. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Season-long, Osasuna average 2.0 points per game compared to Getafe's 1.5. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore. The gap in chance quality is clear: Osasuna come out at +0.3 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.3. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.

xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.

Osasuna create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.1), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. Getafe create 0.9 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of -0.3. The underlying numbers clearly favour Osasuna. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.

Osasuna average 1.0 goals per game and Getafe manage 0.5. Combined that's just 1.5. We make it only 32% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 40%.

Both teams score in 74% of Osasuna's home games and 26% of Getafe's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.

▸ Team news & context

Osasuna do it the hard way: only 1.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.5 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break.

In the last 10 meetings: Osasuna have won 2, Getafe 6, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.7 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Getafe 1-0 Osasuna, Osasuna 2-1 Getafe, Osasuna 1-2 Getafe, Getafe 1-1 Osasuna.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

If you like Osasuna but want a bit of cover, the Home/Draw double chance at @1.29 , which pays out if Osasuna win or draw, covers 74% of the outcomes. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (22%) and 2-0 (14%).

First Half Result

Osasuna HT 2.75
Draw HT 1.91
Getafe HT 4.60

Team Intel

📊 Osasuna · xG

For: 1.32/g Against: 1.06/g

📊 Getafe · xG

For: 0.91/g Against: 1.19/g

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

Osasuna vs Getafe Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	Osasuna Win	@2.15	47.1%	William Hill
Match Result	Draw	@2.90	27.0%	William Hill
Match Result	Getafe Win	@3.70	25.8%	William Hill
BTTS	Yes	@2.25	40.3%	William Hill
BTTS	No	@1.62	59.7%	William Hill
Goals	Over 2.5	@3.00	31.9%	Bet365
Goals	Under 2.5	@1.44	68.1%	Bet365
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.62	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 1.5	@2.43	-	Bet365
Goals	Over 3.5	@6.00	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 3.5	@1.14	-	Bet365

05The numbers

Recent Form

Osasuna

1W streak 2 unbeaten

Last 5 WDLLL

At home DLLLW

Clean sheets 18% BTTS 55% FTS 32%

Getafe

1W streak

Last 5 WLWLW

On the road LLDW

Clean sheets 32% BTTS 29% FTS 45%

Osasuna vs Getafe Team Stats

CA Osasuna

Position 7

Played 2

Record 1W-1D-0L

Goals F/A 2/1

Avg Goals Scored 1.00

Points 4

Overall Form WDLLL

Home Form DLLLW

Home Record 0W-1D-0L

Getafe CF

Position 10

Played 2

Record 1W-0D-1L

Goals F/A 1/3

Avg Goals Scored 0.50

Points 3

Overall Form WLWLW

Away Form LLDW

Away Record 0W-0D-1L

Osasuna vs Getafe Head to Head

2 Home Wins 2 Draws 6 Away Wins

2.7 Avg Goals

7/10 BTTS

5/10 Over 2.5

2026-05-23 Osasuna 0-1 Getafe

2025-10-03 Osasuna 2-1 Getafe

2025-03-16 Osasuna 1-2 Getafe

2024-10-05 Osasuna 1-1 Getafe

2024-01-21 Osasuna 3-2 Getafe

2023-09-17 Osasuna 2-3 Getafe

2023-05-28 Osasuna 1-2 Getafe

2022-09-18 Osasuna 0-2 Getafe

2022-05-11 Osasuna 1-1 Getafe

2021-12-19 Osasuna 0-1 Getafe

Full Osasuna vs Getafe head-to-head history →

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 1-0 21.7%

2-0 13.6%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Same-game fold one leg per market, live prices

Under 2.5 goals 72% @1.44 Unibet
Over 6.5 corners Smart 85% @1.32 Superbet
Over 3.5 cards 81% @1.24 Betano
Ante Budimir 1+ shots on target 78% @1.28 Bet365
Raul Garcia 1+ shots on target 69% @1.44 Bet365

Combined 4.34 · £5 returns £21.72

Market singles 12 priced markets

Over 6.5 corners 85% @1.32 Superbet
Under 1.5 first half goals 83% @1.24 Betano
Santos Ruben Garcia 1+ shots 83% @1.20 Bet365
Getafe under 5.5 corners 83% @1.22 Unibet
Under 11 corners 83% @1.20 1xBet
Mario Martin 1+ shots 82% @1.22 Bet365
Over 3.5 cards 81% @1.24 Betano
Osasuna or Draw (double chance) 80% @1.30 1xBet
Osasuna under 6.5 corners 80% @1.29 Superbet
Getafe under 5 corners 80% @1.25 1xBet
Under 7.5 cards 79% @1.35 Unibet
Over 5.5 shots on target 79% @1.27 Unibet

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our Osasuna v Getafe builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 Osasuna or Draw 76% @ 1.32
2 Under 2.5 Goals 68% @ 1.47
3 Both Teams to Score - No 60% @ 1.68

@3.25 £10 returns £32.49

View full breakdown

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The record

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verified hit rate across 837 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

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Osasuna vs Getafe: FAQs

Who will win Osasuna vs Getafe?

Our model makes Osasuna the favourite with a 47.1% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.

What are the best odds for Osasuna vs Getafe?

Best available odds: Osasuna @ 2.15, Draw @ 2.90, Getafe @ 3.70. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does Osasuna vs Getafe kick off?

Osasuna vs Getafe kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 18:30 in the La Liga.

Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Getafe?

Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 40.3% probability.

Osasuna vs Getafe prediction and betting tips?

Our top prediction is Osasuna to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.