Fiorentina v Napoli

Sunday 20 September 2026, 11:30 Serie A

Build this bet

72% across 1040 graded picks, in public. The record

The model's read

Fiorentina 25% Draw 28% Napoli 45%

The read

The desk

Fiorentina have won only once in five and haven't won any of their last three at home, while Napoli arrive on the back of an away win but missing both first-choice centre-backs. Goals look more certain here than a home win or a safe draw.

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The model says

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The call on this game Over 1.5

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public - the whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.32

Your slip

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Every leg with the model's number beside it, the combined price, and what we left out and why. Tap any leg to move it to your slip. Seven days for £1.

The research

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The research desk on this game:

“Napoli's patched-up back line and Fiorentina's home drought point to goals, not a result.”

The desk's verdict on the model's call: hold. The reason, the team news and every market's grade sit inside.

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, the team news by name, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. Seven days for £1 opens the whole card, on this game and every other.

The model v the market

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The model's number beside every price in this table: the win markets, the double chances, the goals and both to score. Seven days for £1.

Every priced market

26 markets
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.20
Napoli over 2.5 corners Betano 1.18
Napoli under 6.5 corners 1xBet 1.19
Under 11.5 shots on target Betano 1.19
Over 1.5 cards Betano 1.20
Over 0.5 second half goals Betano 1.26
Napoli over 0.5 goals Betano 1.25
Over 6.5 corners Betano 1.27
Over 20.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.21
Under 29.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.21
Fiorentina under 5.5 corners Betano 1.25
Over 6.5 shots on target 1xBet 1.31
Fiorentina or Napoli (double chance) 1xBet 1.34
Over 1.5 goals Betano 1.32
Under 10.5 corners Betano 1.28
Fiorentina over 2.5 corners 1xBet 1.26
Over 20.5 fouls 1xBet 1.26
Napoli or Draw (double chance) 1xBet 1.37
Napoli under 2 goals Marathon Bet 1.30
Under 4.5 cards Betano 1.32
Under 3.5 goals Pinnacle 1.37
Fiorentina over 0.5 goals Betano 1.38
Over 0.5 first half goals Betano 1.42
Under 26.5 fouls Betano 1.78
Under 1.5 first half goals Bet365 1.44
Fiorentina under 1.5 goals Marathon Bet 1.45

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in FBB Pro.

Recent winners

Graded in public

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