Birmingham v Middlesbrough

Saturday 19 September 2026, 15:00 Championship

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72% across 1021 graded picks, in public. The record

The model's read

Birmingham 26% Draw 26% Middlesbrough 46%

The read

The desk

Birmingham welcome Middlesbrough missing both Patrick Roberts and Demarai Gray from their attack, while Boro arrive fourth in the table but without Darragh Lenihan, Alfie Jones and Alex Bangura, and with Adilson Malanda a fresh doubt. It shapes up as a game where goals should arrive from somewhere, but backing exactly how they fall is where the value gets thin.

The desk's full read on this game, who is missing and the call with its reason, is in FBB Pro. Seven days for £1.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 1.5

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public - the whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.23

Your slip

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2 legs, one per market family, built for this game.

Every leg with the model's number beside it, the combined price, and what we left out and why. Tap any leg to move it to your slip. Seven days for £1.

The research

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The research desk on this game:

“Birmingham's attack is short two key men; Middlesbrough's edge is real but priced too short to trust blindly.”

The desk's verdict on the model's call: hold. The reason, the team news and every market's grade sit inside.

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, the team news by name, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. Seven days for £1 opens the whole card, on this game and every other.

The model v the market

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The model's number beside every price in this table: the win markets, the double chances, the goals and both to score. Seven days for £1.

Every priced market

18 markets
Middlesbrough under 2.5 goals Betano 1.22
Middlesbrough over 0.5 goals Marathon Bet 1.21
Middlesbrough over 3.5 corners Betano 1.31
Under 4 goals BetVictor 1.23
Birmingham over 3.5 corners Betano 1.25
Birmingham or Middlesbrough (double chance) William Hill 1.30
Birmingham under 2 goals Marathon Bet 1.21
Under 2.5 second half goals Betano 1.29
Birmingham over 0.5 goals Betano 1.27
Middlesbrough over 4 corners Marathon Bet 1.44
Over 2 goals Betano 1.36
Under 12.5 corners 1xBet 1.29
Over 8.5 corners Betano 1.36
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.28
Over 0.5 first half goals Betano 1.36
Birmingham over 4 corners 1xBet 1.29
Middlesbrough or Draw (double chance) Betano 1.44
Under 27.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.42

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip. The desk's grade on each is in FBB Pro.

Recent winners

Graded in public

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The written card on this game and every other, the built slip with the model's number on each leg, and every call in your Telegram the moment it locks. Cancel any time. We publish the misses too.

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