RB Leipzig crestManchester City crest

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City Prediction

Wednesday 4 November 2026, 20:00 Champions League

Build this bet

1234 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

RB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig 15% Draw 24% Manchester City crestManchester City 61%

The read

The desk

RB Leipzig have won five straight at home but sit near the bottom of the table, a gap that tends to show once a stronger side turns up. Manchester City have won four of their last five away games and lead the head to head heavily, so expect goals at both ends with City doing enough to win it.

The model says

Always free
The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.36Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.36

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Double chance: RB Leipzig or Draw 2.54

Leipzig's 5 straight home wins are the only thing propping this bet up; they sit 29th in the table, have won just 1 of the last 6 meetings with City, and City arrive on 4 wins from their last 5 away games.

The research desk on this game:

“City's away form and head-to-head dominance make Leipzig's perfect home run look thinner than it seems.”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
RB Leipzig win 15% 5.00 20%
Draw 24% 4.60 22%
Manchester City win 61% 1.57 64%
RB Leipzig or draw 45% 2.45 41%
Manchester City or draw 1.17 85%
Either side to win, no draw 1.20 83%
Over 2.5 goals 74% 1.36 74%
Both teams to score 66% 1.44 69%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

12 markets
Under 2.5 first half goals William Hill 1.22
Manchester City under 3.5 goals Bet365 1.22
RB Leipzig over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.36
Under 2 first half goals BetVictor 1.37
Manchester City over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.36
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.40
Over 9 corners 1xBet 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 1xBet 1.39
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.44
Both teams to score: Yes William Hill 1.44
RB Leipzig under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.50

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

Always free
Under 2.5 goals 3.30 to 3.10 shortening
Draw 4.40 to 4.50 drifting, longer

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

Always free
RB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig WWLLWW

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 15 scored, 10 conceded.

Sat 31 Oct Schalke 04 crestat Schalke 04 2-0 Won
Sat 24 Oct SV Elversberg crestv SV Elversberg 4-0 Won
Wed 21 Oct Real Madrid crestat Real Madrid 1-4 Lost
Sat 17 Oct Bayern Munich crestat Bayern Munich 1-6 Lost
Tue 13 Oct PSV Eindhoven crestv PSV Eindhoven 1-0 Won
Sat 10 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt crestv Eintracht Frankfurt 6-0 Won
Manchester City crestManchester City LDLWWL

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 13 scored, 12 conceded.

Sat 31 Oct Brighton & Hove Albion crestv Brighton & Hove Albion 0-1 Lost
Wed 28 Oct Brighton And Hove Albion crestv Brighton And Hove Albion 2-2 Drew
Sat 24 Oct Aston Villa crestat Aston Villa 1-2 Lost
Tue 20 Oct AEK Athens crestv AEK Athens 5-1 Won
Sat 17 Oct Ipswich Town crestv Ipswich Town 3-2 Won
Wed 14 Oct Paris Saint-Germain crestv Paris Saint-Germain 2-4 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

RB Leipzig v Manchester City: the numbers

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RB Leipzig crestRB LeipzigManchester City crestManchester City 29League position10 1-0-2League record, won-drawn-lost2-0-1 3-8Goals for and against9-5 3Points6 1-0-0Home record v away record1-0-0 1.00Scored a game3.00 2.67Conceded a game1.67 2.49xG for a game2.06 32%Clean sheets42% 9%Failed to score11% 62%Both teams scored50%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

RB Leipzig v Manchester City: head to head

Always free
RB Leipzig won 1 1 draw Manchester City won 4
5.0 goals a game 5/6 both scored 5/6 over 2.5
28 Nov 2023 Manchester City crestRB Leipzig crestManchester City v RB Leipzig 3-2
4 Oct 2023 RB Leipzig crestManchester City crestRB Leipzig v Manchester City 1-3
14 Mar 2023 Manchester City crestRB Leipzig crestManchester City v RB Leipzig 7-0
22 Feb 2023 RB Leipzig crestManchester City crestRB Leipzig v Manchester City 1-1
7 Dec 2021 RB Leipzig crestManchester City crestRB Leipzig v Manchester City 2-1
15 Sep 2021 Manchester City crestRB Leipzig crestManchester City v RB Leipzig 6-3

Likely scorelines

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1-28% 1-38% 0-36% 1-46% 2-35% 0-44%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: FAQs

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RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.36. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does RB Leipzig vs Manchester City kick off?

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 20:00 UK time (Champions League).

What are the best odds for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

The best prices across the books we track: RB Leipzig 5.00, the draw 4.60, Manchester City 1.57. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are RB Leipzig and Manchester City in?

RB Leipzig have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W W L L W W, newest first), scoring 15 and conceding 10. Manchester City have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L D L W W L, newest first), scoring 13 and conceding 12.

What is the head to head between RB Leipzig and Manchester City?

In their last 6 meetings on our record, RB Leipzig won 1, Manchester City won 4 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 28 Nov 2023, finished Manchester City 3-2 RB Leipzig.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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