Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Malmo FF have taken 7 points from their last five; Orgryte IS have lost their last two. Form gives little away going into this Allsvenskan tie.
E. Botheim has been Malmo FF's spearhead, with 10 goals and 3 assists in 18 appearances, averaging 0.89 shots on target per game. N. Christoffersson has been Orgryte IS's main threat, with 8 goals and 1 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 0.94 shots on target per game.
Malmo FF will be looking to make home advantage count (W7 D4 L4 at home). Orgryte IS's away record reads W0 D1 L0. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Interestingly, Malmo FF have been poor at home recently while Orgryte IS travel well. the visitors' away form is superior to the hosts' home record. Orgryte IS could be in for a similar cool-off. 1.5 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.2. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Malmo FF create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them +0.2 a game on the balance. Orgryte IS create 1.2 (giving up 2.6) for a balance of -1.4. The underlying numbers clearly favour Malmo FF. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Orgryte IS are also scoring more than their chances suggest (1.5 goals vs chance quality of 1.2). Both runs could cool off at once.
Malmo FF average 1.5 goals per game and Orgryte IS manage 1.5. Combined that's just 3.0. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Malmo FF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Orgryte IS Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Limited recent meetings (1), too small a sample for a reliable head-to-head split.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:30 in the Allsvenskan.