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Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.
| Market | Our model | Bookies imply | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient Win | 27.9% | 38.2% | 10 pts under |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52.0% | 55.6% | 4 pts under |
What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.
Leyton Orient know what's at stake, and so do Sheffield Wednesday.
Leyton Orient welcome Sheffield Wednesday in the League One. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Leyton Orient will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Sheffield Wednesday travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
A razor-thin margin: Sheffield Wednesday at 45%, but the draw sits at 27%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.
The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.
Neither side has been putting the ball away much. Leyton Orient average just 0.7 goals per game and Sheffield Wednesday manage 0.8. This doesn't look like a high-scoring one.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. Leyton Orient average 0.7 goals per game and Sheffield Wednesday manage 0.8. Combined that's just 1.5. We make it only 52% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Both teams score in 65% of Leyton Orient's home games and 48% of Sheffield Wednesday's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Leyton Orient Win | @2.80 | 27.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.25 | 27.0% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Sheffield Wednesday Win | @2.30 | 45.1% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.91 | 52.0% | William Hill |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.83 | 48.0% | William Hill |
Our model makes Sheffield Wednesday the favourite with a 45.1% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.
Best available odds: Leyton Orient @ 2.80, Draw @ 3.25, Sheffield Wednesday @ 2.30. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Leyton Orient vs Sheffield Wednesday kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 in the League One.
Our top prediction is Sheffield Wednesday to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.