Puebla vs Leon Prediction

Saturday 10 October 2026, 02:00 Liga MX

Build this bet

1070 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Puebla 27% Draw 29% Leon 44%

The read

The desk

Two sides who have drawn a lot at venue lately, with no verified team news to move the read. The line worth a look is Leon or Draw, with Under 3.5 as the goals leg, and both sides' recent draws are the reason.

The model says

Always free
The call on this game Leon to win
The best price 2.50Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 2.50

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Both teams to score (Yes) 1.67

Nothing in the pack shows either side scoring in a run. Puebla's last five are L D L W L and their home results are draws and one win, with no scoring or conceding figures to override the house record. In the 1.50 to 1.74 band our record is 36.8 won against the 61.4 needed.

The research desk on this game:

“Two draw-heavy sides, no verified team news: Leon or Draw is the read, BTTS Yes is the trap.”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

Always free
Best priceImplied
Puebla win 2.88 35%
Draw 3.30 30%
Leon win 2.50 40%
Puebla or draw 1.53 65%
Leon or draw 1.40 71%
Either side to win, no draw 1.33 75%
Over 2.5 goals 1.90 53%
Both teams to score 1.70 59%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

24 markets
Under 11.5 shots on target Betano 1.18
Over 0.5 second half goals William Hill 1.22
Over 8 corners 1xBet 1.20
Over 22.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.20
Leon over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Puebla over 3.5 corners Betano 1.26
Under 12.5 corners Betano 1.30
Over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.25
Leon under 2 goals Marathon Bet 1.25
Leon over 3.5 corners Betano 1.27
Over 6.5 shots on target Betano 1.25
Leon under 6.5 corners 1xBet 1.26
Puebla or Leon (double chance) Bet365 1.33
Under 2 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.27
Puebla under 6 corners 1xBet 1.27
Puebla over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Under 6.5 cards Betano 1.29
Under 30.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.29
Under 3.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Over 0.5 first half goals BetVictor 1.38
Leon or Draw (double chance) Bet365 1.40
Over 3.5 cards Betano 1.39
Under 1.5 first half goals BetVictor 1.42
Puebla under 1.5 goals Bet365 1.50

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

Always free
Under 2.5 goals 1.85 to 1.93 drifting, longer
Over 2.5 goals 1.83 to 1.90 drifting, longer
Away win 2.25 to 2.30 drifting, longer
Home win 2.80 to 2.75 shortening

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

Always free
Puebla LDLWLW

Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 5 scored, 7 conceded.

Sun 27 Sep at tigres uanl 0-1 Lost
Sat 19 Sep v atlante 1-1 Drew
Wed 16 Sep v toluca 0-1 Lost
Sat 12 Sep at necaxa 1-0 Won
Sun 30 Aug at america 0-2 Lost
Sun 23 Aug v Santos 3-2 Won
Leon WDWLDW

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost. 9 scored, 6 conceded.

Mon 28 Sep v fc juarez 2-1 Won
Mon 21 Sep at club queretaro 1-1 Drew
Tue 15 Sep v atletico san luis 2-0 Won
Fri 11 Sep at pumas unam 1-3 Lost
Sat 29 Aug at atlante 1-1 Drew
Sat 22 Aug v Monterrey 2-0 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Puebla v Leon: the numbers

Always free
PueblaLeon 1.21Scored a game1.36 1.21Conceded a game1.14 21%Clean sheets29% 21%Failed to score14% 57%Both teams scored57%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Puebla vs Leon: FAQs

Always free

Puebla vs Leon prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Leon to win at 2.50. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Puebla vs Leon kick off?

Puebla vs Leon kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 02:00 UK time (Liga MX).

What are the best odds for Puebla vs Leon?

The best prices across the books we track: Puebla 2.88, the draw 3.30, Leon 2.50. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Puebla and Leon in?

Puebla have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (L D L W L W, newest first), scoring 5 and conceding 7. Leon have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W D W L D W, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 6.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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