Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction
Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:30 Premier League1188 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Sunderland 24%
Draw 29%
Leeds 47%
The read
The deskSunderland's home form beats their table position, three wins in five there, while Leeds arrive unbeaten in three of their last five but missing two key attacking names. Expect goals at both ends rather than a stalemate, though a truly one-sided scoreline looks unlikely with neither attack fully loaded.
The model says
Always freeThe desk marks this call down. Its reason is in the research below.
Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeSunderlandBrian Brobbey: out, groin injury
LeedsNoah Okafor: out, hamstring injury · Joe Rodon: fitness doubt, recent knock
Checked Thu 22 Oct, 12:20.
5 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProAt 1.39 this needs to land close to 72 times in 100 to break even, and the one result it insures against, a Sunderland win, has happened 3 times in Sunderland's last 5 home games.
“Sunderland's home form fights Leeds' away run, both sides missing their sharpest attacker.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
18+. BeGambleAware.org
The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 24% | 3.00 | 33% |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 | 31% |
| Leeds win | 47% | 2.50 | 40% |
| Sunderland or draw | 64% | 1.53 | 65% |
| Leeds or draw | 70% | 1.40 | 71% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.36 | 74% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.10 | 48% |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 1.80 | 56% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
19 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeSunderland
DLWLLW
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 7 scored, 11 conceded.
at Lech Poznan
1-1
Drew
at AFC Bournemouth
0-2
Lost
at Torreense
2-1
Won
v Brighton & Hove Albion
0-2
Lost
at Manchester City
3-5
Lost
v AZ Alkmaar
1-0
Won
Leeds
DLDWLD
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost. 10 scored, 11 conceded.
v Manchester United
1-1
Drew
at Arsenal
1-2
Lost
v Crystal Palace
0-0
Drew
v Newcastle United
4-1
Won
at Chelsea
3-6
Lost
at Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
Drew
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Sunderland v Leeds: the numbers
Always freeSunderlandLeeds
20League position8
1-1-5League record, won-drawn-lost2-4-1
6-14Goals for and against9-6
4Points10
1-0-2Home record v away record1-1-1
0.86Scored a game1.29
2.00Conceded a game0.86
1.52xG for a game1.42
29%Clean sheets21%
34%Failed to score32%
47%Both teams scored58%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Sunderland v Leeds: head to head
Always freeSunderland v Leeds
0-1
Leeds v Sunderland
0-1
Sunderland v Leeds
1-1
Leeds v Sunderland
2-1
Sunderland v Leeds
2-2
Leeds v Sunderland
0-0
Sunderland v Leeds
1-0
Leeds v Sunderland
1-1
Sunderland v Leeds
0-2
Sunderland v Leeds
1-0
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Sunderland vs Leeds: FAQs
Always freeSunderland vs Leeds prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.36. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Sunderland vs Leeds kick off?
Sunderland vs Leeds kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:30 UK time (Premier League).
What are the best odds for Sunderland vs Leeds?
The best prices across the books we track: Sunderland 3.00, the draw 3.20, Leeds 2.50. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Sunderland vs Leeds?
Sunderland: Brian Brobbey: out, groin injury. Leeds: Noah Okafor: out, hamstring injury, Joe Rodon: fitness doubt, recent knock.
What form are Sunderland and Leeds in?
Sunderland have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 (D L W L L W, newest first), scoring 7 and conceding 11. Leeds have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 6 (D L D W L D, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 11.
What is the head to head between Sunderland and Leeds?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Sunderland won 3, Leeds won 3 and 4 were drawn. The most recent, 30 Jul 2026, finished Sunderland 0-1 Leeds.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Sat 24 Oct
Pro single
Utrecht v PEC Zwolle
1.48
Over 2.5 goals (1-1) Lost
-
Sat 24 Oct
Pro single
FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen
1.53
Over 2.5 goals (2-3) Landed
-
Sat 24 Oct
Pro single
Luton v Leicester
1.53
Over 2.5 goals (2-1) Landed
-
Fri 23 Oct
Pro single
Torino v Monza
2.00
Over 2.5 goals (3-2) Landed
-
Thu 22 Oct
Pro single
Monaco v SC Freiburg
1.73
Over 2.5 goals (3-0) Landed
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.