01The read
KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers: Desperation Stakes at the Bottom
The model makes KuPS 46% favourites here. Shamrock Rovers carry the 27% upset.
A Europa Conference League meeting between KuPS (21st, 7 pts) and Shamrock Rovers (31st, 4 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Key facts
😶
Blunt Attack
KuPS fail to score in 63% of their games. Creating chances has been a real problem
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 100% of KuPS's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
▸ Form & goals
KuPS will be looking to make home advantage count (W1 D2 L1 at home). Shamrock Rovers's away record reads W2 D1 L3. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Shamrock Rovers have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
KuPS average 0.8 goals per game and Shamrock Rovers manage 1.4. Combined that's just 2.2. We make it 48% for three or more, so there's no strong lean on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 46%.
▸ Team news & context
A genuine relegation six-pointer. KuPS (21st) and Shamrock Rovers (31st) are both looking over their shoulders. This could define their entire season.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
KuPS HT
2.40
-
Draw HT
2.15
-
Shamrock Rovers HT
4.20
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
KuPS Win |
@1.85
|
46.0% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.20
|
27.0% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Shamrock Rovers Win |
@4.00
|
26.9% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.85
|
46.2% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@1.85
|
53.8% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.95
|
48.4% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@1.85
|
51.6% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.28
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@3.50
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@3.25
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.33
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers Team Stats
KuPS
Position
21
Played
8
Record
1W-4D-3L
Goals F/A
6/8
Avg Goals Scored
0.80
Points
7
Overall Form
LDWLDD
Home Record
1W-2D-1L
Shamrock Rovers
Position
31
Played
12
Record
4W-3D-5L
Goals F/A
17/15
Avg Goals Scored
1.40
Points
4
Overall Form
DLLWWD
Away Record
2W-1D-3L
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
3-0
2.0%
3-2
1.5%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
KuPS under 2.5 goals
85%
@1.22
Bet365
-
KuPS over 0.5 goals
85%
@1.23
Betano
-
KuPS or Draw (double chance)
84%
@1.27
Betano
-
Under 2 second half goals
82%
@1.22
Marathon Bet
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
81%
@1.30
William Hill
-
Under 3.5 goals
81%
@1.33
Bet365
-
KuPS or Shamrock Rovers (double chance)
80%
@1.33
William Hill
-
Shamrock Rovers under 1.5 goals
80%
@1.30
Bet365
-
Over 1.5 goals
78%
@1.35
Betano
-
Under 11.5 corners
78%
@1.28
Betano
-
Over 7.5 corners
77%
@1.30
Betano
-
Under 1.5 first half goals
74%
@1.42
10Bet
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