01The read
Analysing Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd: Who Wins?
Too close to call on the numbers. Kilmarnock 38%, Dundee Utd 36%, the draw live at 28%.
A Scottish Premiership meeting between Kilmarnock (11th, 28 pts) and Dundee Utd (7th, 40 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Key facts
🚫
Poor Away Form
Dundee Utd have won just 3 of 19 on the road. Travelling support won't expect much
📉
Home Wobble
Kilmarnock arrive off 2 straight defeats. The home crowd will need something early
▸ Form & goals
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Kilmarnock come in on a L-L-W-W-W run, Dundee Utd have gone W-W-L-W-L, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Kilmarnock's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Kilmarnock are scoring 1.3 a game (1.5 of those at home) and Dundee Utd manage 1.3 (1.3 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 53%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 53%.
▸ Team news & context
In the last 10 meetings: Kilmarnock have won 6, Dundee Utd 0, with 4 draws. These fixtures average 2.5 goals per game. 4 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Kilmarnock 3-0 Dundee Utd, Dundee Utd 1-1 Kilmarnock, Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee Utd.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Kilmarnock HT
3.20
-
Draw HT
2.25
-
Dundee Utd HT
2.80
Latest News
Loading latest news...
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Kilmarnock Win |
@2.60
|
38.2% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.20
|
27.8% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Dundee Utd Win |
@2.60
|
36.3% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.57
|
53.1% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.30
|
46.9% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.80
|
52.5% |
10Bet |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.07
|
47.5% |
10Bet |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.26
|
- |
Betano |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@3.90
|
- |
Betano |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@3.00
|
- |
10Bet |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.44
|
- |
10Bet |
05The numbers
Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd Team Stats
Kilmarnock
Position
11
Played
38
Record
10W-10D-18L
Goals F/A
50/68
Avg Goals Scored
1.30
Points
28
Overall Form
LLWWW
Home Form
LWW
Home Record
7W-4D-8L
Dundee Utd
Position
7
Played
38
Record
10W-15D-13L
Goals F/A
49/60
Avg Goals Scored
1.30
Points
40
Overall Form
WWLWL
Away Form
WLLL
Away Record
3W-8D-8L
Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd Head to Head
6 Home Wins
4 Draws
0 Away Wins
2.5
Avg Goals
5/10
BTTS
4/10
Over 2.5
2026-05-02
Kilmarnock 3-0 Dundee Utd
2026-02-21
Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee Utd
2025-11-29
Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee Utd
2025-09-27
Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee Utd
2025-08-17
Kilmarnock 2-1 Dundee Utd
2025-02-01
Kilmarnock 1-0 Dundee Utd
2024-12-07
Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee Utd
2024-09-28
Kilmarnock 3-3 Dundee Utd
2023-05-24
Kilmarnock 3-0 Dundee Utd
2023-02-11
Kilmarnock 1-0 Dundee Utd
Full Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
5.2%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
85%
@1.26
Betano
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
85%
@1.22
William Hill
-
Over 1.5 goals
83%
@1.26
Betano
-
Kilmarnock under 2 goals
83%
@1.21
Marathon Bet
-
Kilmarnock or Dundee Utd (double chance)
82%
@1.33
William Hill
-
Dundee Utd over 0.5 goals
81%
@1.26
Betano
-
Dundee Utd under 2 goals
81%
@1.24
Marathon Bet
-
Kilmarnock over 0.5 goals
80%
@1.28
Betano
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
77%
@1.39
Betano
-
Over 2 goals
75%
@1.38
Betano
-
Under 1.5 first half goals
69%
@1.48
10Bet
-
Dundee Utd or Draw (double chance)
69%
@1.52
Betano
Build a slip from these markets →