Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Sunday 11 October 2026, 02:00 Liga MX

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1070 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Atlas 29% Draw 28% Guadalajara Chivas 43%

The read

The desk

Chivas go in as market favourites at 2.15 against two threes for the draw and Atlas, but Atlas have won their last two at home while Chivas's only tracked away form is a single draw. Goals look the safer read than the result, with traditional books pricing two or more goals at 80+ implied.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.70Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.70

Who is missing

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Team news · fetched, named, sourced
Atlas

Aldo Rocha: muscle injury, late September, status since unconfirmed · Adonis Frías: muscle injury, late September, status since unconfirmed · Jorge Sánchez: thigh injury in August, recovery timeline unclear

Guadalajara Chivas

Bryan González: muscle issue, late September, status since unconfirmed · José Castillo: rehabilitating, late September, status since unconfirmed · Richard Ledezma: knee meniscus discomfort, training apart as of late September

Checked Thu 8 Oct, 02:09.

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The research

Pro
The research desk on this game:

“Chivas priced as favourites, Atlas unbeaten in last two home games, goals look near certain”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Best priceImplied
Atlas win 3.10 32%
Draw 3.60 28%
Guadalajara Chivas win 2.20 45%
Atlas or draw 1.67 60%
Guadalajara Chivas or draw 1.36 74%
Either side to win, no draw 1.30 77%
Over 2.5 goals 1.70 59%
Both teams to score 1.62 62%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

19 markets
Under 12.5 corners Betano 1.19
Over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.20
Guadalajara Chivas over 3.5 corners Betano 1.19
Guadalajara Chivas under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.22
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.25
Over 7.5 corners Betano 1.26
Atlas or Guadalajara Chivas (double chance) William Hill 1.30
Guadalajara Chivas under 7.5 corners 1xBet 1.23
Atlas over 2.5 corners Betano 1.27
Atlas under 5.5 corners 1xBet 1.25
Atlas over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Guadalajara Chivas or Draw (double chance) Bet365 1.36
Guadalajara Chivas over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.32
Over 0.5 first half goals Bet365 1.33
Over 2 goals BetVictor 1.33
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.33
Over 7.5 shots on target Betano 1.42
Over 24.5 total shots (on + off target) Betano 1.42
Under 1.5 first half goals Bet365 1.50

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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Draw 3.50 to 3.10 shortening
BTTS yes 1.62 to 1.55 shortening
Home win 3.00 to 2.90 shortening
Under 2.5 goals 2.13 to 2.18 drifting, longer
Over 2.5 goals 1.73 to 1.70 shortening
No draw 1.28 to 1.30 drifting, longer

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Atlas WDLLDL

Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost. 9 scored, 17 conceded.

Sat 26 Sep at club tijuana 3-2 Won
Sun 20 Sep v u n a m pumas 1-1 Drew
Sun 13 Sep at toluca 2-5 Lost
Sat 12 Sep at toluca 1-5 Lost
Sun 6 Sep v Atlante 1-1 Drew
Sat 29 Aug v Querétaro 1-3 Lost
Guadalajara Chivas LDW

Last 3, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 5 scored, 4 conceded.

Sun 27 Sep v club queretaro 0-2 Lost
Sun 20 Sep at club america 2-2 Drew
Mon 14 Sep v u n a m pumas 3-0 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Atlas v Guadalajara Chivas: the numbers

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AtlasGuadalajara Chivas 1.53Scored a game1.67 1.80Conceded a game1.33 20%Clean sheets33% 13%Failed to score33% 67%Both teams scored33%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas: FAQs

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Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.70. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas kick off?

Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 02:00 UK time (Liga MX).

What are the best odds for Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas?

The best prices across the books we track: Atlas 3.10, the draw 3.60, Guadalajara Chivas 2.20. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Atlas: Aldo Rocha: muscle injury, late September, status since unconfirmed, Adonis Frías: muscle injury, late September, status since unconfirmed, Jorge Sánchez: thigh injury in August, recovery timeline unclear. Guadalajara Chivas: Bryan González: muscle issue, late September, status since unconfirmed, José Castillo: rehabilitating, late September, status since unconfirmed, Richard Ledezma: knee meniscus discomfort, training apart as of late September.

What form are Atlas and Guadalajara Chivas in?

Atlas have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 6 (W D L L D L, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 17. Guadalajara Chivas have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 (L D W, newest first), scoring 5 and conceding 4.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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