Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa Prediction

Friday 9 October 2026, 18:00 Süper Lig

Build this bet

1068 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Galatasaray 67% Draw 18% Kasımpaşa 16%

The read

The desk

Galatasaray are top of the table and should win at home, but Okan Buruk is planning rotation, with Davinson Sanchez and Lucas Torreira expected to rest and Wilfried Singo out. Osimhen and Lemina are both doubtful after adductor problems, so the goals lines are where a casual bet goes wrong.

The model says

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The call on this game Galatasaray to win
The best price 1.25Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.25

Who is missing

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Team news · fetched, named, sourced
Galatasaray

Osimhen: doubt · Lemina: doubt · Singo: out · Sanchez: rested · Torreira: rested

Kasımpaşa

No absences found.

Checked Tue 6 Oct, 00:44.

The research

Pro
Markets the desk would leave alone
KILLED
Over 2.5 goals (OVER_25) 1.44

The goals depend on Osimhen and Lemina, both doubtful, and the back line is rotated with Singo out and Sanchez rested. Over 2.5 needs three goals from a home side playing around its gaps.

KILLED
Galatasaray first half (FIRST_HALF_HOME) 1.60

Okan Buruk is rotating the back line and midfield, and Osimhen's minutes may be capped, so an early lead has fewer attacking starters behind it than a normal home XI would.

KILLED
Both teams to score, Yes (BTTS_YES) 1.75

Galatasaray's attack is rotated with Osimhen's fitness uncertain and Singo out. Research cannot find Kasimpasa's away scoring run in this window, and the ledger record for BTTS between 1.50 and 2.09 is poor, so this research has to clear that bar on evidence and does not.

The research desk on this game:

“Galatasaray should win, but rotation and Osimhen's fitness make the goals markets the trap.”

Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1

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The model v the market

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Best priceImplied
Galatasaray win 1.25 80%
Draw 6.00 17%
Kasımpaşa win 11.00 9%
Galatasaray or draw 1.06 94%
Kasımpaşa or draw 4.00 25%
Either side to win, no draw 1.14 88%
Over 2.5 goals 1.44 69%
Both teams to score 1.83 55%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

17 markets
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.18
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.22
Galatasaray over 4.5 corners Betano 1.19
Galatasaray to win Bet365 1.25
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Galatasaray over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.27
Kasımpaşa over 1.5 corners Betano 1.28
Galatasaray under 3.5 goals Bet365 1.30
Over 7.5 corners Betano 1.29
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.33
Kasımpaşa under 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.30
Under 11.5 corners Betano 1.31
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.44
Under 4 goals Betano 1.42
Galatasaray over 5.5 corners Betano 1.39
Galatasaray to win the second half William Hill 1.55

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Since we first priced it

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BTTS yes 1.85 to 1.75 shortening
BTTS no 1.85 to 1.95 drifting, longer

The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.

Recent form

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Galatasaray LWL

Last 3, newest first: 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 2 scored, 7 conceded.

Sat 19 Sep at trabzonspor 0-4 Lost
Sun 13 Sep v kocaelispor 1-0 Won
Wed 9 Sep at sporting cp 1-3 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Galatasaray v Kasımpaşa: the numbers

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GalatasarayKasımpaşa 1League position- 24-5-5League record, won-drawn-lost- 77-30Goals for and against0-0 77Points0 13-4-0Home record v away record- 2.30Scored a game0.00 0.90Conceded a game0.00 35%Clean sheets0% 12%Failed to score0% 33%Both teams scored0% 56%Over 2.5 goals0%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa: FAQs

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Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Galatasaray to win at 1.25. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa kick off?

Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 18:00 UK time (Süper Lig).

What are the best odds for Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?

The best prices across the books we track: Galatasaray 1.25, the draw 6.00, Kasımpaşa 11.00. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

Who is missing for Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa?

Galatasaray: Osimhen: doubt, Lemina: doubt, Singo: out, Sanchez: rested, Torreira: rested. Kasımpaşa: no absences found.

What form are Galatasaray and Kasımpaşa in?

Galatasaray have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 (L W L, newest first), scoring 2 and conceding 7.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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