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A test of nerve as much as quality when Fleetwood Town welcome Chesterfield.
A EFL Cup fixture between Fleetwood Town and Chesterfield. Here's what the numbers and form tell us ahead of kick-off.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Fleetwood Town will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while Chesterfield travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Fleetwood Town are scoring 1.6 a game (1.6 of those at home) and Chesterfield manage 1.1 (1.1 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 52%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
Chesterfield prefer to keep things tight (0.6 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Fleetwood Town against this setup.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Fleetwood Town Win | @2.90 | 31.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.20 | 28.0% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Chesterfield Win | @2.30 | 40.1% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.65 | 50.8% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.15 | 49.2% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.90 | 51.5% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @1.95 | 48.5% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.28 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.60 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.35 | - | Bet365 |
Our model makes Chesterfield the favourite with a 40.1% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Fleetwood Town @ 2.90, Draw @ 3.20, Chesterfield @ 2.30. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 in the EFL Cup.