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The model makes Rangers 47% favourites here. FK Jablonec carry the 25% upset.
FK Jablonec have won five of their last six; Rangers have taken five points from their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Europa Conference League tie.
Goals are a tough one to call here. FK Jablonec are scoring 1.5 a game (1.5 of those at home) and Rangers manage 1.5 (1.5 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 52%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 52%.
FK Jablonec do it the hard way: only 1.5 a game up top, but a mean 0.3 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | FK Jablonec Win | @3.35 | 25.4% | Betano |
| Match Result | Draw | @3.64 | 27.9% | 1xBet |
| Match Result | Rangers Win | @2.19 | 46.8% | 1xBet |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.62 | 52.1% | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | @2.22 | 47.9% | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.82 | 52.0% | 1xBet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.05 | 48.0% | 1xBet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.27 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @3.85 | - | Betano |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @3.00 | - | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.42 | - | 10Bet |
Limited recent meetings (1), too small a sample for a reliable head-to-head split.
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Our model makes Rangers the favourite with a 46.8% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: FK Jablonec @ 3.35, Draw @ 3.64, Rangers @ 2.19. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
FK Jablonec vs Rangers kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 17:00 in the Europa Conference League.