1070 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
Genoa are 19th with four defeats in five, and Colombo, Venturino and Nuredini are all out. Fiorentina sit 17th with a last five of draw, win, three defeats, so this looks like a game between two sides short of goals rather than a shootout.
Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Ostigard: three yellow cards, suspension risk
Parisi: out (knee)
Checked Wed 7 Oct, 01:32.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The evidence says Genoa lose more often than not here: one point from five, a home line of D L L, and three forwards out. They sit 19th against Fiorentina's 17th, and the kill is on the home form and the absences, not the price.
The team news kills it. Genoa's forwards Colombo, Venturino and Nuredini are out, and Meichtry and Havel are listed as possible returns only for the Roma game. Genoa have one point from five and a home line of D L L, so the home side is short of scorers for this leg.
This is the trap: 2.04 reads like a goals game, but Genoa's three forwards are out, Genoa's home line is D L L with one point from five, and the evidence points to a tight game. The kill is on the absences and the form, not the price.
“Genoa's forwards are out and they have lost four of five; Over 1.5 is right, 1.32 is thin.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa win | 24% | 3.30 | 30% |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 | 30% |
| Fiorentina win | 46% | 2.25 | 44% |
| Genoa or draw | 62% | 1.62 | 62% |
| Fiorentina or draw | 73% | 1.35 | 74% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.33 | 75% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 2.10 | 48% |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 1.80 | 56% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
The best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Last 5, newest first: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost. 3 scored, 10 conceded.
Last 5, newest first: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost. 6 scored, 12 conceded.
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.34. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
Genoa vs Fiorentina kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time (Serie A).
The best prices across the books we track: Genoa 3.30, the draw 3.30, Fiorentina 2.25. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Genoa: Ostigard: three yellow cards, suspension risk. Fiorentina: Parisi: out (knee).
Genoa have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 (L D L L L, newest first), scoring 3 and conceding 10. Fiorentina have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 (D W L L L, newest first), scoring 6 and conceding 12.
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.